Dwarkesh Podcast

Satya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away

Nick Lane – Life as we know it is chemically inevitable

Some thoughts on the Sutton interview

Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end

Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine

How Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine

Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel

China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

Artificial meat is harder than artificial intelligence — Lewis Bollard

Sarah Paine — How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Stephen Kotkin — How Stalin became the most powerful dictator in history

Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner

A billion years of evolution in a single afternoon — George Church

Why China's manufacturing economy is dominating — Arthur Kroeber

"China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin." — Ken Rogoff

Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI? — Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken

What will automated firms look like?

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months

Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper

AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton

Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution

Notes on China

Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough

Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — The war for India (lecture & interview)

Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT

Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary

@Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works

Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin

David Reich — How one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago

Joe Carlsmith — Preventing an AI takeover

Patrick McKenzie — Money laundering, big tech censorship, SBF & Japan

Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change

Francois Chollet — Why the biggest AI models can't solve simple puzzles

Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history

John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) — Reasoning, RLHF, & plan for 2027 AGI

Mark Zuckerberg — Llama 3, $10B models, Caesar Augustus, & 1 GW datacenters

Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken — How LLMs actually think

Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold

Patrick Collison — Why Silicon Valley's most talented should leave

Tyler Cowen — Hayek, Keynes, & Smith on AI, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth

Lessons from The Years of Lyndon Johnson by Robert Caro [Narration]