Richard Sutton is the father of reinforcement learning, winner of the 2024 Turing Award, and author of The Bitter Lesson. And he thinks LLMs are a dead end.
After interviewing him, my steel man of Richard’s position is this: LLMs aren’t capable of learning on-the-job, so no matter how much we scale, we’ll need some new architecture to enable continual learning.
And once we have it, we won’t need a special training phase — the agent will just learn on-the-fly, like all humans, and indeed, like all animals.
This new paradigm will render our current approach with LLMs obsolete.
In our interview, I did my best to represent the view that LLMs might function as the foundation on which experiential learning can happen… Some sparks flew.
A big thanks to the Alberta Machine Intelligence Institute for inviting me up to Edmonton and for letting me use their studio and equipment.
Enjoy!
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Timestamps
(00:00:00) – Are LLMs a dead end?
(00:13:04) – Do humans do imitation learning?
(00:23:10) – The Era of Experience
(00:33:39) – Current architectures generalize poorly out of distribution
(00:41:29) – Surprises in the AI field
(00:46:41) – Will The Bitter Lesson still apply post AGI?
(00:53:48) – Succession to AIs