On Wednesday of next week, the Federal Reserve will almost certainly embark on its long-anticipated easing cycle. However, whether the first cut in the federal funds rate is 25 or 50 basis points is still very much in doubt. This is a crucial question for the economy and financial markets since a 50 basis point cut might well do more harm than good if busine ... Show More
Jul 27
The People versus Inflation
No one liked the defendant. That much was clear. But when the jury retired to consider their verdict, they hardly knew where to start. The case was so confusing and the judge’s instructions hardly seemed adequate. “Perhaps”, suggested the foreman, “we should start with a list of ... Show More
15m 56s
Jul 20
A Top Down View of the Earnings Surge
The earnings season has started with a blast. As of Friday morning, 49 of the S&P500 companies had reported second-quarter earnings, with 85% beating expectations and the index on track for a blockbuster 23% year-over-year gain for the quarter. According to FactSet, analysts now ... Show More
15m 35s
Jul 13
The Fed Communications Debate: Bernanke Versus Warsh
Alan Greenspan, who served as Fed Chairman for almost 20 years, died last month at the age of 100. He was a talented and faithful public servant who guided U.S. monetary policy through the stock market crash of 1987, the boom years of the 1990s and the dot-com bubble. He was thou ... Show More
15m 30s
Mar 2022
Could the Fed Make a Big Misstep? And Trouble Under the Surface for Commodity Houses?
We’re counting down to the “most important” Fed meeting this month. But with Chair Jerome Powell forced to toe a delicate line between being too aggressive and not aggressive enough, could the central bank make its biggest misstep ever? Plus, commodity prices may be soaring, but ... Show More
44 m
Feb 2024
How soft would a soft landing be?
The Fed remains committed to reducing rates, which bond markets may be cheering, but it may not begin easing policy as soon as markets anticipate. David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions and Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager, Global Fixed Income, Currency & C ... Show More
18m 26s
<p>With the Federal Reserve poised to make its long-awaited rate cut this week, our CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist tells us why investors have pivoted their concerns from high inflation to slowing growth. </p><p><br></p><p>----- Transcript -----</p><p><br></p><p>Welcome ... Show More
