logo
episode-header-image
Sep 1
14m 42s

The Week in Markets: AI – enhancing prof...

JULIUS BAER
About this episode

This week’s episode explores how artificial intelligence (AI) is boosting corporate profitability while reshaping the labour market. Since the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022, S&P 500 revenue per worker has climbed 15% after years of stagnation, but entry-level jobs are increasingly under pressure. The Federal Reserve’s focus has now shifted from inflation towards employment. Our economist expects five rate cuts by March 2026, though policy uncertainty and eroded trust keep our 10-year US Treasury yield forecast steady at 4.25%. History offers many examples of presidential overreach, episodes that typically prove temporary. With the Trump administration set to continue for another three and a half years, however, investors may feel compelled to exercise caution and consider diversifying beyond the US and the traditional financial system, including assets such as gold.

Up next
Yesterday
China Conversations: From Golden Week to the 15th Five-Year Plan
Golden Week has just wrapped, offering a timely snapshot of China’s consumer sentiment. Travel volumes surged, but spending data remained subdued, highlighting the limits of short-term stimulus and reinforcing calls for deeper structural reform.Amidst this backdrop, China’s stock ... Show More
29m 27s
Oct 7
The Week in Markets: Shutdown blues, Sanaenomics buzz
Despite uncertainty around the US government shutdown and signs of economic weakness, equities have rallied, though tech stocks paused as AI enthusiasm met valuation concerns. With non-farm payroll data delayed, investors are turning to private sector indicators for labour market ... Show More
5m 46s
Oct 1
How structured products can add value to a portfolio
Structured products can provide investors with capital protection, enhanced yield, or targeted exposure to specific market scenarios. While they may appear complex to those less familiar with them, this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast aims to demystify these instruments. He ... Show More
16m 44s
Recommended Episodes
Aug 29
Fed independence in the spotlight as markets await key inflation gauge
Yesterday saw a flurry of economic data releases, accompanied by significant political developments. The US economy demonstrated stronger-than-expected resilience in the second quarter, expanding at a revised annualised rate of 3.3%, while recent labour market figures suggest a s ... Show More
16m 25s
Sep 8
Japan’s stock markets rally after PM resigns
The Nikkei 225 was up around 1.5% and the Topix hit a record high this morning after Japan’s prime minister resigned over the weekend. It’s hoped that a new regime should provide greater longer-term policy and political stability, and a more conducive pro-growth environment for t ... Show More
10m 13s
Nov 2024
Count down to the US election | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
On Friday, the US announced a meagre 12K nonfarm job additions last month, the manufacturing and private nonfarm payrolls printed negative numbers. But the bright spot was that unemployment remained steady at 4.1% - suggesting that the NFP number probably took a one-off hit, and ... Show More
11m 13s
Sep 2024
Growth concerns persist, ECB set to cut rates again this week
The US employment report for August showed a slower than expected increase in jobs, but a fall in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. Markets reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 having its worst week since March 2023, closing at 5408 points. Other asset classes such as Bitcoin and oi ... Show More
12m 18s
Aug 2021
US yields jump, gold dives ahead of US inflation!
Asian stock markets kicked off the week on a positive note, although the US indices had nothing more exciting than mixed performance after the announcement of strong jobs data on Friday. The US jobs data gave a small boost to the Dow and the S&P500 which closed Friday’s session 0 ... Show More
10m 42s
Sep 8
JPMorgan Trading Desk Warns Fed Rate Cut Risks Tanking Stocks
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. US stocks have been on a tear, setting more than 20 all-time highs this year, but the Federal Reserve’s next move threatens to curb investors’ zeal, JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s trading desk warns. “This current bull ... Show More
38m 44s
Mar 2025
The week begins on a risk-off note
US inflation concerns intensified, with the core PCE rising 2.8% year-on-year, fuelling fears of stagflation. Tariffs remain a significant concern, with the US poised to unveil new measures on Wednesday. The EU is bracing itself for a potential 20% tariff, and Goldman Sachs has i ... Show More
12m 22s
Mar 2025
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Cuts 2025 Growth Projection
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Intelligence Chief US Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey and Veronica Willis, Global Investment Strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, discuss Federal Reserve officials holding their benchma ... Show More
47m 34s
Apr 2025
Should we be optimistic about the US economy? With Michael Strain
Almost a month since ‘liberation day’, the potential impacts of President Donald Trump’s tariff regime are starting to sink in. US hard data isn’t yet showing much negative impact from changes to US trade policy – but economists are gloomy on US growth prospects. The IMF last wee ... Show More
31m 2s
Oct 1
Government shutdown begins, gold surges, Nike and Buffett deals
The US government has officially shut down after lawmakers failed to reach a funding deal, furloughing 750,000 workers and risking delays to jobs and inflation data critical for the Fed’s next moves. Markets opened Q4 lower, with futures and the dollar slipping while gold rallies ... Show More
22m 55s