logo
episode-header-image
Aug 2024
26m 8s

Lots More: Did the Fed Just Make a Polic...

bloomberg
About this episode

This week, the Federal Reserve opted to keep interest rates unchanged while suggesting that it could cut as soon as September. But there's an ongoing discussion about whether or not the Fed is behind the curve, with some of the most recent data suggesting that the economy is already slowing. On Thursday, for instance, initial jobless claims rose to the highest level in almost a year while the ISM survey showed manufacturing activity shrinking by the most in eight months. So is the Fed making a massive policy error by keeping rates on hold? And does it matter? We bring back Macquarie strategist Viktor Shvets to discuss the recent central bank decision, the macro outlook, and the impact of geopolitical uncertainty.

Read More: Fed on Course for September Rate Cut as Risks to Job Market Grow

    Only Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at  bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Up next
    Oct 6
    James van Geelen on the Next Phase of the AI Buildout
    Money has been flowing into the AI space, with billions pouring into GPU clusters, data centers, gas turbines, and the infrastructure needed to train and deploy bigger and bigger models. So what comes next? On this episode, we speak with James van Geelen, founder of Citrini Resea ... Show More
    38m 38s
    Oct 3
    Lots More with Joe Abate on the Fed's New Target and the Rising Price of Money
    We're used to talking about the Federal Reserve changing "benchmark interest rates." But the mechanics of how the central bank actually tightens or loosens policy are a lot more nuanced. For years now, the Fed's been doing this through the federal funds market — where US banks le ... Show More
    27m 30s
    Oct 2
    Terry Duffy on the CME's Big Push into Retail Trading
    CME Group is one of the oldest exchanges around, tracing it's history all the way back to the late 1800s, when it specialized in agricultural commodities. It's best known for things like futures and interest rate swaps that tend to be favored by professional traders. But as retai ... Show More
    57m 47s
    Recommended Episodes
    Sep 29
    Business Rundown: Is the Job Market Really as Bleak as the Fed Thinks?
    When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on ... Show More
    20m 25s
    Feb 2022
    Will the Fed Be Forced To Make a Move Before March?
    The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for February read 61.7, down from 67.2 in January, well short of a median estimate of 67, and the lowest print since October 2011 – even lower than April 2020, when the global economy was locked down. “To put it bluntly,” notes ... Show More
    34m 34s
    Sep 5
    The Fed Is Cornered By Stagflation After Jobs Collapse | Weekly Roundup
    This week, we discuss all the growing list of weaker labor market data after August NFP showed just 22K jobs added. We also debate whether the Fed will have room to cut 50bps in September while stagflation rears its head, the potential implications if tariffs are overturned, and ... Show More
    42m 7s
    Aug 2024
    Following The "Fed Breadcrumbs" | Nick Timiraos on “Not Hot At All” Labor Market, Interest Rate Cuts, and Fed’s Collision Course With 2024 Election
    Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow Nick Timiraos on Twitter https://x.com/NickTimiraosNick’s work at WSJ: https://www.wsj.com/news/author/nick-timiraosFollow VanEck on Twitter ... Show More
    1h 6m
    Sep 2024
    A Fed Insider on the Looming Rate Cut
    This month, for the first time in over two years, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates. Mary Daly, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, is one of 12 people who will decide how aggressive that cut should be. She talks to Kate abo ... Show More
    21m 15s
    Aug 4
    Why Stocks Get Ahead of the Fed
    Economic data looks backward while equity markets are looking ahead. Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why this delays the Federal Reserve in both cutting and hiking rates – and why this is a feature of monetary policy, not a bug.Read more insights fro ... Show More
    4m 10s
    Aug 2024
    Instant Reaction: Will the Fed Cut Quicker After This Selloff?
    Global stock markets tumbled as concerns about a US economic slowdown intensified. Traders ramped up bets that the Federal Reserve will step in with an emergency interest rate cut. For instant reaction to this selloff, and how Fed officials will respond, Bloomberg's Nathan Hager ... Show More
    6m 6s