logo
episode-header-image
Jan 2024
31m 7s

Commercial Real Estate Time Bomb; Leisur...

bloomberg
About this episode

Commercial real estate faces a tough 2024 as trillions of dollars in debt comes due and refinancing gets harder, according to Neil Callanan, corporate finance czar at Bloomberg News. Offices in financial centers are especially under pressure after banks tightened lending standards, Callanan tells Bloomberg senior editor James Crombie in the latest episode of the BI Credit Edge Podcast. He’s watching for delayed and canceled new projects and short selling of real estate companies as signals of distress. In addition, Jody Lurie, Bloomberg Intelligence credit analyst, weighs the outlook for leisure-sector bonds after a stellar year in 2023. Gains are expected at a slower pace, while some junk cruise operators are heading for investment grade, according to Lurie. Business travel will boost hotels, while car rental firms are more challenged, she adds.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Up next
Oct 9
Aegon Is Worried About Junk-Debt Blowups
More highly indebted companies will slip into distress as the US economy slows and earnings suffer, according to Aegon Asset Management. “I am bracing for a little more trouble ahead,” Jim Schaeffer, the $380 billion manager’s global head of leveraged finance, tells Bloomberg New ... Show More
51m 10s
Oct 2
CLOs Are Tough to Blow Up, Crescent Says
Collateralized loan obligations, particularly those backed by middle-market borrowers, are a growing opportunity for investors, according to Crescent Capital Group. “You have to work really hard to blow those structures up,” said John Fekete, the company’s head of tradeable credi ... Show More
44m 33s
Sep 25
BlackRock Says CLOs Are Among Best Relative Value Picks in Credit
There’s opportunity in collateralized loan obligations, according to BlackRock, the world’s largest money manager. “CLO tranches are probably one of the best relative value picks within the credit markets,” James Turner, the firm’s co-head of European fundamental fixed income inv ... Show More
43m 16s
Recommended Episodes
Apr 2023
The Commercial Real Estate Default Cycle Has Only Just Begun | Dan McNamara
Dan McNamara, veteran commercial MBS trader and founder of Polpo Capital, joins Forward Guidance to argue that the commercial real estate (CRE) default cycle has only just begun. McNamara notes that the fall of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank is causing regional bank ... Show More
1h 18m
Aug 2023
1034 - As the Commercial Market Falls Apart, These Three Assets Could Be Your Next Big Opportunity by Lindsay Frankel
Offices across the country are still sitting empty. The nationwide office vacancy rate reached a high of about 20% in the first quarter of 2023, according to JLL, and while big tech companies are pressuring workers to return to the office, the hybrid work model has led to an incr ... Show More
12m 41s
May 2024
Minutes Show Officials Rallying Around Higher-for-Longer Rates
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg News International Economics & Policy Correspondent Michael McKee reports on Federal Reserve officials earlier this month coalescing around a desire to hold interest rates higher for longer and “many” ... Show More
49m 44s
Apr 2023
Navigating the ‘perfect storm’ in commercial real estate
The recent stress in the banking sector appears to have abated but there are knock-on effects that are pressuring a key corner of the economy: commercial real estate. So could commercial real estate be the next possible crisis? In the latest episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs, ... Show More
28m 22s
Jun 2024
US Retail Sales Barely Increase in Sign of Consumer Strain
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg News Economics Editor Molly Smith and Bloomberg News Rates Reporter Michael Mackenzie break down news that US retail sales barely rose in May and prior months were revised lower, pointing to greater f ... Show More
53m 29s
Dec 2023
Pain In Commercial Real Estate Will Be Worse Than In 2008 Great Financial Crisis, Argues Veteran Office Investor Anthony Dilweg
Anthony Dilweg, veteran real estate investor and Founder & CEO and of Dilweg, joins Forward Guidance to share shocking information from the world of commercial real estate (CRE) in general and office in particular. Dilweg, whose firm owns over 5.5 million square feet of real esta ... Show More
1h 48m
Mar 2023
Bloomberg Wall Street Week March 24th, 2023
 On this edition of Wall Street Week, Sonal Desai, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO & Dennis DeBusschere, 22V Research President, Partner and Chief Market Strategist. Former Treasury Secretary, Larry Summers, Former Fed Board Member, Dan Tarullo And Stephanie Flanders, Bloombe ... Show More
33m 28s
Feb 2024
Matt King, Founder, Satori Insights, LTD
Efforts to understand the “why” of the motion in asset prices consume our time and attention in markets. To be sure, traditional sources of risk – namely the economy, the path of corporate profits and changes in the interest rate cycle – do matter. But, as Matt King argues, espec ... Show More
58m 29s
Mar 2023
Vishy Tirupattur: The Coming Challenges for Bank Credit
Against the backdrop of volatility in the banking sector, tightening in consumer and commercial credit may have far-reaching impacts for economic growth. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Vishy Tirupattur, Chief Fixed Income Strategist here at Morgan S ... Show More
3m 10s
May 2022
Bloomberg Wall Street Week: May 27th, 2022
One of the most iconic brands in financial television returns for today's issues and today's world. On this edition of Wall Street Week, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist & Ben Inker, GMO Co-Head of Asset Allocation wrap up a volatile week in the markets ... Show More
32m 22s