Dan McNamara, veteran commercial MBS trader and founder of Polpo Capital, joins Forward Guidance to argue that the commercial real estate (CRE) default cycle has only just begun. McNamara notes that the fall of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank is causing regional banks to curb lending to commercial real estate projects, and that as a result many ... Show More
Yesterday
Blockworks Acquires Messari
In this special episode, Blockworks announces its acquisition of Messari and unpacks what it means for crypto’s next phase. Michael and Jason explore why Messari’s breadth of data, APIs, and research complement Blockworks’ deep on-chain analytics, investor relations, and disclosu ... Show More
28m 59s
Yesterday
Policy Intervention Is Keeping The Bull Market Alive | Weekly Roundup
Markets increasingly seem to respond more to intervention than fundamentals, raising a bigger question about what actually drives asset prices today. This week, we discuss how policy intervention, systematic flows, and AI-driven capital allocation are reshaping market behavior an ... Show More
56m 42s
Oct 2023
Mortgage Bonds Blow Up; Banks Feel Regulatory Heat
<p>The $8 trillion mortgage-bond market plunged to levels rarely seen since the global financial crisis as Treasury yields surged. To analyze why and what’s next, we’re joined by Christopher Maloney, mortgage strategist at BOK Financial Capital Markets, and Bloomberg News reporte ... Show More
37m 45s
Feb 2024
Will commercial real estate hurt regional banks?
<p>New York Community Bancorp shares fell 38% on Wednesday, partly on worries about the bank’s exposure to commercial real estate. Today on the show, Ethan Wu is joined by Robert Armstrong and FT property correspondent Joshua Oliver, who explain what’s going on with NYCB, and wha ... Show More
16m 46s
Apr 2023
What Commercial Real Estate Stress Means for Banks and Bond Funds
In the last month or so, two macro risks have become top of mind for investors. One is the stability of regional banks. The other is the weakness in the commercial real estate market. On some level, they're separate stories, but they're also linked, since regional banks tend to d ... Show More
47m 42s
Dec 2023
The Higher Stocks Rise the Harder They Fall with Jeff Toporek of FD Stonewater
On this episode of “On The Tape,” Dan Nathan, Guy Adami, and Liz Young give a preview of the week ahead, including the last Fed meeting of the year. Dan and Guy sit down with Jeff Toporek of FD Stonewater for a conversation about commercial real estate and interest rates.
Key In ... Show More
1h 2m
Dec 2023
Private Debt ‘Tourists’ May Do Bad Deals; Bank Outlook
New entrants to the rapidly-growing private credit market, scrambling to deploy capital as demand exceeds supply, risk making loans that don’t perform well, according to Alan Schrager, senior partner and portfolio manager at Oak Hill Advisors. “You sort of love private credit tou ... Show More
51m 56s
<p>As regional banks contend with sector volatility, commercial real estate could face challenges in securing new loans and refinancing debt when it matures.</p><p><br></p><p>----- Transcript -----</p><p><br></p><p>Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan ... Show More
