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Nov 3
5m 28s

The Genius Act is Truly Genius

Victor Menasce
About this episode

On today’s show we are looking at some of the changes happening in the global monetary system that I believe  are being largely misunderstood. 

The Genius Act is enabling the US the extend its reach internationally which could have the effect of strengthening the US position as the world reserve currency. 

Think about the demand for dollars or any stable currency if you live in a country that has high inflation. The people in Turkey or Argentina or Venezuela along with numerous other countries are experiencing very high inflation. Inflation in Turkey is close to 50% year over year. Argentina is 98% year over year, and Venezuela is a whopping 400% year over year. The average person on the street aims to spend their pay check fully because they know that whatever they purchase will be more expensive next week. If they can’t realistically spend all their cash, they will find a way to exchange their local currency for US dollars or Euros. But mostly US dollars. The problem with is that the folks can’t open a USD denominated bank account with their local bank. They end up going to expensive currency exchange businesses and pay a sizeable premium to convert their Turkish Lira into USD. If you walk the streets of Istanbul, these currency exchange businesses are virtually on every street corner.  

This year the US Genius Act was passed into law. Most people don’t know what the Genius Act is. Some know that it is something about crypto. But they’re not out there buying their groceries with bitcoin or Etherium. So who cares. What does this have to do with me? 

The thing to remember is that Stable coins are programmable. That means there is a history of all transactions on the blockchain and the US government can maintain both oversight and control over the transactions. Today, the vast majority of Stable coins are denominated in USD. That means the adoption of stable coins for commerce outside the US will actually extend the reach and entrenchment of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. The fact that these coins are not issued by the US government will create the perception that these coins have the best of both worlds. They are US dollar denominated. They are backed by either US dollars or by US Treasuries. But they are not a CBDC. 

The idea is that these coins are all about extending the reach of the US dollar. There’s currently 180 FIAT currencies in the world. There is no market for exchanging Guarani from Paraguay into Japanese Yen. All of this happens today through the US dollar. Stable coins denominated in US dollars are the key to further entrenching the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. I believe these will have a higher international adoption than coins which are under the direct control of the Chinese Communist Party. 

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