logo
episode-header-image
Jul 2017
1h 1m

034 | The Stock Series Part 2 | JL Colli...

ChooseFI
About this episode

034 | This podcast is Part 2 of the Stock Series discussion with JL Collins, author of The Simple Path to Wealth and the website JLCollinsNH; we discuss the Great Depression and the mindset you need to be a successful long-term investor, plus how to allocate between equities and bonds.

In Today’s Podcast we cover: Part 2 of the Stock Series conversation with Jim Collins If you have not yet listened to Part 1 you can listen to it here Be sure to check out the associated Friday Roundup here for Brad and Jonathan's take-aways

A discussion of what happened during the Great Depression and the Crash of 1929 A large portion of the crash was due to many people buying stock on margin Jim’s explanation of leverage and buying stocks on margin Jim’s Four Lessons to watch out for Making peace in your mind when a crash/correction happens. What caused it?  Psychology or something legitimate?

Unless you believe the US economy has permanently collapsed, then “the market always goes up” over time according to Jim Jim says the best thing that can happen to a young investor is a market crash as you get to purchase stocks “on sale” for potentially years Savings rate is the most crucial aspect for the FI community since it allows you to continually invest in good markets and bad Bull markets and bear markets are a part of life.

We need to toughen up mentally to prepare for both Jim’s explanation of the 40 year period starting in 1975 showing the calamities that happened and yet how far the market increased Nobody knows what the next 40 years will hold, but we have a dynamic economy What stage of investment life are you in? It varies depending on your age Wealth building and wealth preservation stages and the discussion surrounding both When you’re in the wealth building stage you need to have your psychology correct: Keep pumping money into the market and take advantage of sales when the market goes down 100% equities in the wealth building stage per Jim When you stop working for money you are in the wealth preservation stage What percentage should you have in stocks and bonds in the wealth preservation stage

The more you have in bonds the smoother your ride will be, but the lower your return will be Your tolerance for volatility will determine your percentage in equities and bonds Would Jim ever consider going back to 100% equities? Mathematically you are always better off in stocks than bonds over the long-term

Even Jim contemplated selling during recent market plunges, so everyone is susceptible to this 

Up next
Jul 7
From Poverty to Semi-Retired | Kristen Knapp | Ep 554
Kristen Knapp shares her journey from a childhood marked by poverty to achieving financial independence and transitioning to part-time work as a television meteorologist. She introduces her new venture, FI Friends Travel, a travel initiative that connects financial independence e ... Show More
58m 59s
Jun 30
Deep Dive: Putting the Middle-Class Trap to Bed | Ep 553
Cody Garrett, (CFP), joins Brad to discuss the pervasive myth of the middle-class trap in the financial independence (FI) community. Through four case studies, they illustrate how individuals often feel trapped financially due to psychological barriers rather than actual limitati ... Show More
1h 6m
Jun 23
Unraveling Your Relationship with Money | Shannah Game | Ep 552
Brad chats with certified financial planner Shannah Game, who shares insights from her book Unraveling Your Relationship with Money. They discuss the emotional and psychological aspects of finance, emphasizing the importance of understanding one's money stories, setting intention ... Show More
52m 2s
Recommended Episodes
Apr 2022
Retail Investing, Pt. 2: ESG and Fixed Income
As investors look to diversify their portfolios, there are two big stories to keep an eye on: the historic rise in bond yields and the increased adoption of ESG strategies. Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets and Chief Investment Officer for Wealth Management Lisa Shalett ... Show More
9m 1s
Oct 2021
Andrew Sheets: What Will Markets Return in the Long Run?
One of the great conundrums of finance is predicting what markets will return over the long run. But with some historical research and the power of math, the future can become a bit clearer. ----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, chief cross s ... Show More
4m 46s
Oct 2022
Mike Wilson: Earnings Begin to Guide Lower
Last week stocks rallied quickly but dropped just as fast as markets continue to hope for a more dovish Fed, but will this 2-way risk continue as evidence for a drop in earnings continues to accumulate? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the  Market. I'm Mike Wilson, C ... Show More
3m 49s
Sep 2022
Mike Wilson: A Sudden Drop for Stocks and Bonds
After last week’s Fed meeting and another rate hike, both stocks and bonds dropped back to June lows. The question is, will this turn to the downside continue to accelerate? ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Ch ... Show More
3m 50s
Apr 2022
Andrew Sheets: Can Bonds Once Again Play Defense?
U.S. Treasury bonds have seen significant losses over the last six months, but looking forward investors may be able to use bonds to help balance their cross-asset portfolio in an uncertain market. -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief C ... Show More
3m 38s
Jan 2022
333: How To Trade The Market Bubble In 2022 - Jim Rogers
How To Trade The Market Bubble In 2022 In episode 333 of the Desire To Trade Podcast, I discuss with Jim Rogers on how to trade the market bubble in 2022. The market has been in an overbought stage for a while and full-time investor Jim Rogers knows all about it. You'll want to w ... Show More
23m 34s
Aug 2022
Mike Wilson: The Increasing Risks to Earnings
With Fed messaging making it clear they’re not yet done fighting inflation, the market is left to contend with the recent rally and prepare to adjust growth expectations. -----Transcript----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U ... Show More
4m 18s
Nov 2023
The Massive Bond Short | “Recession Denier” Jonny Matthews (ex-Brevan Howard) On The Duration Bubble, Correlation Trades, and Variance Swaps
Jonny Matthews, founder of Super Macro and former portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and managing director at Citi & Saloman Brothers, joins Forward Guidance to share his view on markets and the economy. Having netted a near 100% return in 2022 with a very large short in Treasury ... Show More
1h 22m
Mar 2023
Mike Wilson: Is Banking Stress the Last Straw for the Bear Market?
After the events of the past few weeks, earnings estimates look increasingly unrealistic and the bear market may finally be ready to appropriately factor-in elevated earning risks. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer ... Show More
3m 58s