On Sizing Options, The Fed and The JPY

Alf and Brent are back to discuss the various macro blowups we are witnessing simultaneously: French spreads, front-end of the bond market, mortgage-backed securities, EM carry and so on. What's the best framework to apply for each of these? 

Alf and Brent are back to discuss the Bessent buyback plan and its impact on markets. The duo focuses on gold, the long-end and the USD as potential release valves. The discussion then moves to two macro idiosyncratic ideas. 

Alf and Brent discuss the significant market reaction to Warsh's press conference: the Fed handed over the keys to the bond market, and now Bond Vigilantes are in charge until data comes in to set the direction straight for everyone. How to handle such a market environment? 

<p>At Jackson Hole, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell gave a clear signal that the rate cut cycle is likely to start in September. But of course that just opens more questions. Will it be a 25bps cut? Will it be 50? Could it be two 50s in a row? When does it stop? On today's episode, we ... Show More

<p>In this episode, IBKR’s own Chief Market Strategist Steve Sosnick breaks down Jerome Powell’s latest Jackson Hole speech and what it could mean for September rate cuts, inflation targets, and market psychology.</p> 

Join Moe & Javaid as they discuss the markets and their reaction to the Fed lowering rates. Will markets hold up? Will there be more cuts? If so, how much? Also, Moe and Javaid react to listener commentary. 

<p>Last week’s Fed statements revealed that its Open Market Committee was thinking about the possibility of interest rate cuts at some point, and the markets responded with insane glee, unexpectedly sending the S&amp;amp;P 500 up to nearly an all-time high. Today on the show, hos ... Show More

Join Moe and Javaid Ansari as they discuss the opening trading day for the month of September. Will this volatility continue? Will the upcoming election impact the markets? Are we done with the Summer Doldrums?   

<p>Investors piling back into the growth trade as stocks rally on the back of the Fed’s big rate cut. Does the central bank’s policy shift give the all clear for marktes? And will the tech trade lead the charge once again? Plus Former president Donald Trump interested in credit c ... Show More

<p>Frank Holland and the Investment Committee discuss key items affecting the market, from a hotter than expected inflation report to a new earnings seasons about to kick off. Plus, Mega Cap Momentum concerns are top of mind as tech valuations are called into question, the desk d ... Show More

On today's podcast: 1) The Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium was a tense affair, with Chair Jerome Powell signaling an interest-rate cut as soon as the next policy meeting in September, despite clear divisions among policymakers.2) Traders are breathing easier heading into ... Show More