logo
episode-header-image
Aug 2024
26m 32s

This Is What The Rate Cut Cycle Could Lo...

bloomberg
About this episode

At Jackson Hole, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell gave a clear signal that the rate cut cycle is likely to start in September. But of course that just opens more questions. Will it be a 25bps cut? Will it be 50? Could it be two 50s in a row? When does it stop? On today's episode, we speak with Peter Williams, a macro strategist at 22V Research. He walks us through his interpretation of Powell's speech and what to look for as the rate cut cycle begins.

Only Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at  bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Up next
Jul 6
These Are the Sharps Actually Making Money on Prediction Markets
Here's a couple things about prediction markets. A lot of it is pure gambling and speculation, much of it on things with very little economic relevance. Another fact is that in all likelihood, if you yourself started trading right now, you'd probably lose your shirt. But there is ... Show More
48m 21s
Jul 3
How a Major Grocery Store Chain Can Dramatically Lower the Cost of Food
In June, grocery giant Aldi opened a store just off of Times Square in Manhattan. It's the company's first location in Midtown and, according to their US Chief Commercial Officer Scott Patton, Aldi has to orchestrate a "logistical symphony" to get groceries into the middle of one ... Show More
50m 30s
Jul 2
What Dan Wang Saw on His Last Trip to China
There's this weird contradiction that hovers almost all conversations regarding the Chinese economy. On the one hand, the growth and rising material prosperity is undeniable. And of course, Chinese industrial giants are at the frontier in all kinds of things, like batteries. On t ... Show More
48m 49s
Recommended Episodes
Aug 2025
Powell to the People?
<p>In this episode, IBKR’s own Chief Market Strategist Steve Sosnick breaks down Jerome Powell’s latest Jackson Hole speech and what it could mean for September rate cuts, inflation targets, and market psychology.</p> 
13m 15s
Aug 2024
The Rate Cut Playbook 8/23/24
<p>Frank Holland and the Investment Committee discuss their rate cut playbook following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments laying the groundwork for coming rate cuts. Plus, the desk share their latest portfolio moves. And later, Steve Liesman joins us with Chicago Fed President A ... Show More
44m 22s
Aug 2024
Market hoping for solid Fed signals at Jackson Hole
Jay Powell will speak Friday with markets looking for September cut. (0:18)  High expectations for Target earnings. (4:51) X shuts down in Brazil. (5:54) Show Notes Goldman Sachs lowers U.S. recession risk on strong economic data Earnings Calendar Episode transcripts: seekingalph ... Show More
8m 11s
Sep 2025
Business Rundown: Is the Job Market Really as Bleak as the Fed Thinks?
When announcing interest rate cuts earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, following major downward revisions to job growth data. But is the US Employment picture as bleak as the Fed sees it? Markets get a clearer view on ... Show More
20m 25s
Aug 2025
The Fed Cut Playbook
With a September rate cut looking increasingly likely, where are the opportunities in bond, currency, and equity markets? Josh Schiffrin, Chief Strategy Officer and Head of Financial Risk for Goldman Sachs Global Banking & Markets, discusses with Mike Washington on the Goldman Sa ... Show More
10m 22s
Dec 2024
Fed cut baked in this week; what about '25?
Quarter-point cut expected, but tariffs could boost inflation next year. (0:18) Micron set to report earnings. (2:14) Goldman's 12 Days of Trading. (4:50) Show Notes Palantir in the Nasdaq 100, Super Micro Computer out Apple developing a foldable iPad - report Episode transcripts ... Show More
7m 7s
Sep 2024
Ease on Down the Road
<p>The Federal Reserve stands at a crossroads, poised to make its most consequential decision in years. Will rate cuts deliver the economic jolt everyone's hoping for, or are we in for a bumpier ride? Join TCW's David Vick as he sits down with Global Rates experts Jamie Patton an ... Show More
15m 12s
Aug 2025
Jackson Hole Points to Hard Road Ahead for Powell; Wall Street Awaits Nvidia Earnings
On today's podcast: 1) The Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium was a tense affair, with Chair Jerome Powell signaling an interest-rate cut as soon as the next policy meeting in September, despite clear divisions among policymakers.2) Traders are breathing easier heading into ... Show More
15m 49s