Brian Szytel recaps a quiet Tuesday, July 7, with markets closing modestly lower amid increased U.S.–Iran tensions involving tanker attacks and restrictions on Iran’s oil exports; crude rose about 3% to roughly $70.56 while gold dipped. Tech led the decline as semiconductors sold off, with the S&P 500 down ~0.5%, the Dow ~0.4%, and the Nasdaq down a little over 1%. Economic news was limited, but May’s U.S. trade deficit widened to $77B, about $20B more than the prior month. Despite the pullback, major indices are up around 10% year-to-date, reflecting a rotation from concentrated chip leaders (some down ~30% in 10 days) into defensives and broader participation. The 10-year yield rose ~7 bps to 4.55%. He also addresses concerns about Q1 profits boosted by mark-to-market gains on non-listed AI holdings, calling it non-recurring and two-sided.
00:00 Market Wrap Intro
00:11 Geopolitics Oil Moves
00:43 Tech Rotation Selloff
01:09 Trade Deficit Update
01:32 Year To Date Perspective
02:28 Rates And Macro Mix
02:39 Ask TBG Earnings Quirk
03:45 Closing Remarks
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com