New All-Time Highs Are Here: Now What?

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com Alf and Brent are back discussing frameworks to approach this market as a short-term oriented trader or as a long-term focused macro investor. 

Alf and Brent reflect on correlations converging to 1 across asset classes, risk management practices in macro deleveraging events, and a game theory approach to how the war could unfold from here. 

Alf and Brent discuss the terms of trade shock that the de-facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is causing. The duo walk through scenarios and probabilities and what framework can be used to trade such a market environment, 

<p>The first <a href="https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/09/18/why-the-federal-reserve-has-gambled-on-a-big-interest-rate-cut?utm_campaign=a.io&utm_medium=audio.podcast.np&utm_source=theintelligence&utm_content=discovery.content.anonymous.tr_shownotes_na-na_arti ... Show More

<p>Declines in the U.S Dollar and Crude Oil taking hold of the market this week, as geopolitical tensions heat up. How the latest tariff headlines are hitting currencies and commodities, and the impact it has on the broader market. Plus Markets in need of a China reality check? W ... Show More

The first reduction in interest rates for four years shows America’s Federal Reserve thinks inflation is now in check. But does the central bank’s decision suggest it is now concerned about the labour market? Ukraine wants its allies to provide long-range missiles (9:50). Our cor ... Show More

Here we are, the last day and the last trading day of the year. It’s now been about two years that ChatGPT was launched and it’s been two years that the AI buzz pushed some US Big Tech companies to ... the sky, really. The consensus is that 2025 should be a good year, that the e ... Show More

<p>Stocks kicking off the week with another volatile session. How the latest tariff headlines are causing even more market swings, why a technical ‘death cross’ is flashing warning signs in the S&P 500’s technicals, and why one currency expert says to steer clear of the U.S. doll ... Show More

Global trade is entering a new phase marked by unpredictability. Marc Gilbert and Michael McAdoo discuss how companies can respond by building supply chain flexibility, strengthening scenario planning, and enhancing their understanding of geopolitical developments. Learn More:Mar ... Show More

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. This interview was recorded on Friday, August 2, during Friday's sell-off but before the vicious sell-off on Monday. he did talk about the potentia ... Show More