Mar 20

How To Trade Macro In A War

Alf and Brent reflect on correlations converging to 1 across asset classes, risk management practices in macro deleveraging events, and a game theory approach to how the war could unfold from here.

33m 7s

Mar 6

Hormuz & The Terms of Trade Shock

Alf and Brent discuss the terms of trade shock that the de-facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is causing. The duo walk through scenarios and probabilities and what framework can be used to trade such a market environment,

37m 2s

Jan 23

US Dollar Hedging: A Real Risk or Just a Narrative?

To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly). In this episode, Alf and Brent reflect on the April-2025-like price action which coincided with the tariff threats. Now that the TACO is here, the real question is: will this episode encoura ... Show More

37m 12s

Sep 2024

Fed-letter day: at last, a rate cut

The first <a href="https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/09/18/why-the-federal-reserve-has-gambled-on-a-big-interest-rate-cut?utm_campaign=a.io&utm_medium=audio.podcast.np&utm_source=theintelligence&utm_content=discovery.content.anonymous.tr_shownotes_na-na_arti ... Show More

25m 31s

Mar 2025

Impact Of Currency & Energy Declines.. And Market Reality Check On China 3/5/25

Declines in the U.S Dollar and Crude Oil taking hold of the market this week, as geopolitical tensions heat up. How the latest tariff headlines are hitting currencies and commodities, and the impact it has on the broader market. Plus Markets in need of a China reality check? W ... Show More

42m 57s

Sep 2024

Fed-letter day: at last, a rate cut

The first reduction in interest rates for four years shows America’s Federal Reserve thinks inflation is now in check. But does the central bank’s decision suggest it is now concerned about the labour market? Ukraine wants its allies to provide long-range missiles (9:50). Our cor ... Show More

25m 31s

Dec 2024

Happy New Year! | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote

Here we are, the last day and the last trading day of the year. It’s now been about two years that ChatGPT was launched and it’s been two years that the AI buzz pushed some US Big Tech companies to ... the sky, really. The consensus is that 2025 should be a good year, that the e ... Show More

11m 17s

Apr 2025

Murky Monday For Stocks… And Tariff Impact On Automakers 4/14/25

Stocks kicking off the week with another volatile session. How the latest tariff headlines are causing even more market swings, why a technical ‘death cross’ is flashing warning signs in the S&P 500’s technicals, and why one currency expert says to steer clear of the U.S. doll ... Show More

43m 40s

May 2025

Navigating the New World of Tariffs and Trade

Global trade is entering a new phase marked by unpredictability. Marc Gilbert and Michael McAdoo discuss how companies can respond by building supply chain flexibility, strengthening scenario planning, and enhancing their understanding of geopolitical developments. Learn More:Mar ... Show More

21m 52s

Nov 2024

Global Outlook: What’s Ahead for Markets in 2025?

On the first part of a two-part roundtable, our panel discusses why the US is likely to see a slowdown and where investors can look for growth. ----- Transcript ----- Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I ... Show More

10m 17s

Aug 2024

The Rug Pull on Global Liquidity | Brent Johnson on Unwind of the Yen Carry Trade, and the Exaggerated Rumors of the Dollar’s Demise

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. This interview was recorded on Friday, August 2, during Friday's sell-off but before the vicious sell-off on Monday. he did talk about the potentia ... Show More

1h 19m

The New Fed vs The Good Old Bond Market