Our Deputy Head of Global Research Michael Zezas explains why the risk of a new U.S. government shutdown is worth investor attention, but not overreaction.
Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.
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Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I’m Michael Zezas, Deputy Head of Global Research for Morgan Stanley.
Today, we’ll discuss the ... Show More
Aug 2019
Why Les Nanberg expects a recession before this year ends
Les Nanberg of Cornerstone Wealth Management in Boston said he sees big slowdowns in economic activity around the world, including the United States, and ntoed that itnerest rate cuts will not do much to stem weakness, especially with a trade war making growth and recovery more d ... Show More
59m 38s
Nov 2023
Interest Rate Declines Will Bring Fated "Soft Landing," Says Earnings Maestro Sam Burns
In January of 2023, a time where extreme pessimism on stocks and the economy reigned, Sam Burns, founder of Mill Street Research, shared his bullish outlook on equities with Jack. Now that his prediction has come true, Sam returns to Forward Guidance to explain why he is much les ... Show More
1h 3m
Aug 2025
Ukraine, the Fed, and market breadth
Major equity markets surge to new highs, driven by easing trade tensions, robust US earnings, and expectations of US interest rate cuts even as US inflation remains a concern. This trend is also reflected in US investment-grade credit spreads, which have reached their lowest leve ... Show More
11m 8s
Sep 2025
Markets rattle as data surprises and tariffs return
Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prom ... Show More
13m 31s
Sep 2025
Equities rebound and gold reaches another all-time high
Markets faced a turbulent week, starting with caution amid hawkish Fed commentary and trade tensions, but ending on a more optimistic note thanks to a solid US inflation report. Global equities rebounded on Friday, though US equities still closed the week in negative territory. I ... Show More
10m 17s
Oct 17
The Stock Market Is Ultraconcentrated, and It Could Get Worse. Here’s How to Manage the Risks.
<p>Over the past few years, just a few large-cap technology stocks have powered the stock market’s returns. That trend shows no signs of abating anytime soon, as demand for artificial intelligence continues to send the tech sector higher. </p><p>A highly concentrated market can—a ... Show More
13m 11s
Jan 2025
Guess Who's Back?
<p>In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the Beige Book, CPI data, the stock and bond markets, tariffs, the debt ceiling, a ... Show More
21m 25s