logo
episode-header-image
Oct 1
12m 22s

Washington shuts its doors

JULIUS BAER
About this episode

September saw strong gains across markets, with the S&P 500 up 3%. Hong Kong outperformed, rising 7%. Gold hit multiple highs and credit spreads narrowed to multi-year lows. Yesterday, healthcare rallied after Pfizer announced discounted drug sales via a new government platform. Switzerland and the United States issued a joint statement opposing currency manipulation. In Asia, trading was subdued due to China’s Golden Week, while Tokyo declined on interest rate concerns. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, comments on the US government shutdown, noting that while politically sensitive, the market impact is likely to remain limited.

  • (00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
  • (00:58) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content
  • (07:29) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research
  • (11:09) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
Up next
Nov 21
A rare reversal in US equities
<p>Stock markets swung sharply as NVIDIA’s post-earnings rally reversed into losses, triggering a sell-off on Wall Street. Robust US employment data and hawkish signals from US Federal Reserve officials dampened hopes of interest rate cuts, while defensive sectors held firm and o ... Show More
12m 5s
Nov 20
NVIDIA results ease AI bubble fears
<p>NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang shrugged off concerns about an AI bubble on Wednesday, as the company surprised Wall Street with accelerating growth after several quarters of slowing sales growth. Technology-heavy indices in Asia are trading significantly higher this morning. Defence ... Show More
14m 46s
Nov 19
Markets turn cautious ahead of NVIDIA earnings
<p>Investors grew increasingly cautious ahead of today’s highly anticipated NVIDIA earnings release, scheduled after market close in New York. The uncertainty weighed on equities, pushing stock indices lower and widening credit yield spreads. Notably, the equal-weighted S&amp;P 5 ... Show More
14m 5s
Recommended Episodes
Oct 3
Shutdown drags on, AI fuels record highs, Trump eyes farmer bailout
US stocks edge higher as Wall Street extends its record run despite the government shutdown entering day three. Economic data remains frozen, with the September jobs report delayed, but investors continue to ride the AI wave as Nvidia (NVDA) and OpenAI unveil new partnerships. Pr ... Show More
21m 49s
Aug 2024
The Rug Pull on Global Liquidity | Brent Johnson on Unwind of the Yen Carry Trade, and the Exaggerated Rumors of the Dollar’s Demise
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. This interview was recorded on Friday, August 2, during Friday's sell-off but before the vicious sell-off on Monday. he did talk about the potentia ... Show More
1h 19m
Oct 17
Stocks Climb as Trump Soothes Wall Street Nerves
Watch Bloomberg Businessweek Daily LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. A jittery week on Wall Street ended on a positive note for stocks as President Donald Trump’s remarks soothed anxiety around trade tensions while regional banks rebounded. Bonds, gold and silver ... Show More
41m 1s
Nov 2024
What Will Bitcoin 100k Mean For Indian investors?
  As Bitcoin nears $100,000, Trump’s pro-crypto policies, including a proposed Crypto Czar and a U.S. “Bitcoin stockpile,” are reshaping global sentiment about this asset class. The EU and UK are advancing crypto regulations, while India’s capital markets regulator SEBI hints at ... Show More
27m 38s
Mar 2025
Trump’s Crypto Pump - Ep 1014
<p>Peter Schiff exposes crypto market manipulations by Trump&#39;s team, critiques Social Security as a Ponzi scheme, and analyzes recent concerning economic data. #trump #bitcoin #crypto</p><p><strong>Sponsor Promotions</strong></p><p>- Stash: Go to <a href="https://get.stash.co ... Show More
1h 3m
Feb 2025
Nvidia Sees Mixed Outlook After Two Years of Blowout Results
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg News US Semiconductor & Networking Reporter Ian King discusses Nvidia's quarterly sales coming in at about $43 billion, slightly above analysts' estimates, but gross profit margins will be tighter tha ... Show More
30m 17s
Sep 5
The Fed Is Cornered By Stagflation After Jobs Collapse | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss all the growing list of weaker labor market data after August NFP showed just 22K jobs added. We also debate whether the Fed will have room to cut 50bps in September while stagflation rears its head, the potential implications if tariffs are overturned, and ... Show More
42m 7s
Jul 2023
Late Cycle Bond Trades | Mark Cabana on Mild Recession Case and Treasury Market Supply
Mark Cabana, head of US Rates Strategy at BofA Global Research, joins Forward Guidance to share insights on today’s very strange bond market. Cabana, a former officer at the Markets Group at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, explains his bullish case for the 10-year U.S. Trea ... Show More
56m 14s
Nov 2023
Interest Rate Declines Will Bring Fated "Soft Landing," Says Earnings Maestro Sam Burns
In January of 2023, a time where extreme pessimism on stocks and the economy reigned, Sam Burns, founder of Mill Street Research, shared his bullish outlook on equities with Jack. Now that his prediction has come true, Sam returns to Forward Guidance to explain why he is much les ... Show More
1h 3m