Send us a text Geopolitics takes centre stage as US markets enjoy a bank holiday. Both gold and US dollar try to recoup Friday’s losses. Major currencies extend monthly gains versus the dollar. Yen benefits from strong GDP; aussie prepares for the RBA. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. ... Show More
Sep 1
Precious metals shine as markets open September
August saw strong gains in global equities, particularly in the Dow Jones, as well as indices in both China, and Japan. Gold has hit a four-month high nearing USD 3,500 per ounce this morning, driven by concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence and uncertainty around US ta ... Show More
10m 25s
Sep 29
Equities rebound and gold reaches another all-time high
Markets faced a turbulent week, starting with caution amid hawkish Fed commentary and trade tensions, but ending on a more optimistic note thanks to a solid US inflation report. Global equities rebounded on Friday, though US equities still closed the week in negative territory. I ... Show More
10m 17s
Aug 2024
The Rug Pull on Global Liquidity | Brent Johnson on Unwind of the Yen Carry Trade, and the Exaggerated Rumors of the Dollar’s Demise
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
This interview was recorded on Friday, August 2, during Friday's sell-off but before the vicious sell-off on Monday. he did talk about the potentia ... Show More
1h 19m
Sep 15
Rate decisions ahead – a make-or-break week for markets?
Markets are off to a strong start this week, which will be a critical one with a 'triple-header' of major central bank decisions. The US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are all scheduled to announce their latest monetary policy moves. Recent economic d ... Show More
11m 5s
Sep 26
Markets rattle as data surprises and tariffs return
Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prom ... Show More
13m 31s
Aug 25
Jerome Powell opens the door to interest rate cuts
Global markets have rallied following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish speech on Friday that opened the door to interest rate cuts. In response, stocks, bonds, gold, and crypto assets surged, while the US dollar has fallen. Asian equity markets are following Wall S ... Show More
11m 5s
Oct 16
Markets rebound on luxury rally and earnings boost
Global equities rebounded midweek, driven by a sharp rally in European luxury stocks and strong earnings from major US banks. US-China trade tensions remain in focus, with Treasury Secretary Bessent reaffirming a firm stance. The AI theme continues to dominate headlines, supporte ... Show More
14m 33s
Aug 18
Ukraine, the Fed, and market breadth
Major equity markets surge to new highs, driven by easing trade tensions, robust US earnings, and expectations of US interest rate cuts even as US inflation remains a concern. This trend is also reflected in US investment-grade credit spreads, which have reached their lowest leve ... Show More
11m 8s
Sep 26
Economic Reacceleration or Growth Scare? | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss the biggest risks to the economy, whether Mag7 is a bubble, surprisingly strong consumer data, the increasingly noisy housing and labor markets, risks around Fed policy and dollar liquidity, and why gold has been a cleaner macro hedge than Bitcoin. Enjoy! — ... Show More
1h 7m
Jul 2023
Late Cycle Bond Trades | Mark Cabana on Mild Recession Case and Treasury Market Supply
Mark Cabana, head of US Rates Strategy at BofA Global Research, joins Forward Guidance to share insights on today’s very strange bond market. Cabana, a former officer at the Markets Group at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, explains his bullish case for the 10-year U.S. Trea ... Show More
56m 14s