On Friday, the US announced a meagre 12K nonfarm job additions last month, the manufacturing and private nonfarm payrolls printed negative numbers. But the bright spot was that unemployment remained steady at 4.1% - suggesting that the NFP number probably took a one-off hit, and the wages continued to grow by 4% on a yearly basis. The market is now ... Show More
Nov 2024
Trump’s victory sparks US equity rally
With Mr Trump confirmed as the next US President and a Republican sweep priced in as a 94% probability, US equities, especially those likely to benefit from his policy changes, took off yesterday. The rally was echoed by the US dollar and Bitcoin. US Treasuries sold off on expect ... Show More
17m 36s
Mar 2025
A Trump Slump? How to Navigate Choppy Markets
It has been a wild few weeks in markets.
By last week, the S&P 500 had wiped out all its gains since Election Day – $3.4 trillion in value. When Trump was asked about the possibility of a recession over the weekend, he said the US was in a “period of transition.”
Then on Monday, ... Show More
16m 40s
Oct 2024
Spotlight on the US Elections
Three big things you need to know: First, our survey results, which are bottom-up in nature and driven by domestic policy views, imply that the event is relevant to US equity markets, but perhaps less so than some market participants may believe. For our US analysts, a Republican ... Show More
6m 30s
Nov 2024
After Trump Win, Where Do Markets Move from Here?
With a second Trump term at least partially reflected in the price of global markets, we focus on two key debates for the longer-term: Potential tariffs and fiscal policy.
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Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I’m Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley’s Global Head o ... Show More
3m 10s
Apr 2025
Market Volatility: What Lies Ahead in Trump's Trade War
Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist for Morningstar Investment Management, discusses the escalating US-China trade war, the 90-day tariff pause, and raised recession risk during this market volatility.Key Takeaways:What an Escalating Trade War Between the US and Chin ... Show More
13m 3s