On Friday, the US announced a meagre 12K nonfarm job additions last month, the manufacturing and private nonfarm payrolls printed negative numbers. But the bright spot was that unemployment remained steady at 4.1% - suggesting that the NFP number probably took a one-off hit, and the wages continued to grow by 4% on a yearly basis. The market is now ... Show More
Yesterday
Tariffs, inflation, debt risks are everywhere – but markets don’t blink
Markets are brushing off 25–40% tariffs like they’re just minor annoyances. But the US is back to tariff warfare, inflation is knocking, repatriation risks from Japan are rising — and yet, equities barely flinch. The S&P 500 is near ATH levels, the Nikkei rebounds, and the Stoxx ... Show More
11m 15s
Jul 7
OPEC brings more oil to the market, as Trump’s tariff deadline approaches
The week starts with renewed pressure on oil prices as OPEC decided to ramp up its production restoration plans by announcing an additional 548,000 barrels per day—well above the 411,000 increase expected, and renewed pressure on risk appetite as the July 9th deadline approaches ... Show More
10m 42s
Nov 2024
Trump’s victory sparks US equity rally
With Mr Trump confirmed as the next US President and a Republican sweep priced in as a 94% probability, US equities, especially those likely to benefit from his policy changes, took off yesterday. The rally was echoed by the US dollar and Bitcoin. US Treasuries sold off on expect ... Show More
17m 36s
Mar 2025
A Trump Slump? How to Navigate Choppy Markets
It has been a wild few weeks in markets.
By last week, the S&P 500 had wiped out all its gains since Election Day – $3.4 trillion in value. When Trump was asked about the possibility of a recession over the weekend, he said the US was in a “period of transition.”
Then on Monday, ... Show More
16m 40s
Oct 2024
Spotlight on the US Elections
Three big things you need to know: First, our survey results, which are bottom-up in nature and driven by domestic policy views, imply that the event is relevant to US equity markets, but perhaps less so than some market participants may believe. For our US analysts, a Republican ... Show More
6m 30s
Nov 2024
After Trump Win, Where Do Markets Move from Here?
With a second Trump term at least partially reflected in the price of global markets, we focus on two key debates for the longer-term: Potential tariffs and fiscal policy.
----- Transcript -----
Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I’m Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley’s Global Head o ... Show More
3m 10s
Apr 11
Market Volatility: What Lies Ahead in Trump's Trade War
Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist for Morningstar Investment Management, discusses the escalating US-China trade war, the 90-day tariff pause, and raised recession risk during this market volatility.Key Takeaways:What an Escalating Trade War Between the US and Chin ... Show More
13m 3s