On Friday, the US announced a meagre 12K nonfarm job additions last month, the manufacturing and private nonfarm payrolls printed negative numbers. But the bright spot was that unemployment remained steady at 4.1% - suggesting that the NFP number probably took a one-off hit, and the wages continued to grow by 4% on a yearly basis. The market is now convinced ... Show More
Yesterday
Up, up and away... from the US
The US dollar is sliding, gold and silver are climbing, and global markets are quietly learning to look elsewhere. Trade deals with India, Mercosur and China are showing that allies and investors alike are diversifying away from the US, while European and Asian equities shrug off ... Show More
9m 42s
Jan 26
Gold spikes past $5’000, silver past $100!
Gold spikes past $5’000 per ounce, silver past $100. Markets are sending a clear message: investors are nervous. Even without fresh geopolitical shocks, capital is flowing into precious metals, signaling that stress is far from over. Equities staged a tentative rebound, but it’s ... Show More
10m 10s
Nov 2024
Trump’s victory sparks US equity rally
<p>With Mr Trump confirmed as the next US President and a Republican sweep priced in as a 94% probability, US equities, especially those likely to benefit from his policy changes, took off yesterday. The rally was echoed by the US dollar and Bitcoin. US Treasuries sold off on exp ... Show More
17m 36s
Mar 2025
A Trump Slump? How to Navigate Choppy Markets
It has been a wild few weeks in markets.
By last week, the S&P 500 had wiped out all its gains since Election Day – $3.4 trillion in value. When Trump was asked about the possibility of a recession over the weekend, he said the US was in a “period of transition.”
Then on Monday, ... Show More
16m 40s
Oct 2024
Spotlight on the US Elections
Three big things you need to know: First, our survey results, which are bottom-up in nature and driven by domestic policy views, imply that the event is relevant to US equity markets, but perhaps less so than some market participants may believe. For our US analysts, a Republican ... Show More
6m 30s
<p>Our Global Head of Fixed Income recaps the aftermath of the first U.S. presidential debate, and how markets may react if forthcoming poll data shows a meaningful shift in the race.</p><p><br></p><p>----- Transcript -----</p><p><br></p><p>Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm ... Show More
<p>Our head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets provides an overview of uncertainty around policy following the election of a Republican administration.</p><p><br></p><p>----- Transcript -----</p><p><br></p><p>Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, head of C ... Show More
<p>With a second Trump term at least partially reflected in the price of global markets, we focus on two key debates for the longer-term: Potential tariffs and fiscal policy. </p><p><br></p><p>----- Transcript -----</p><p><br></p><p>Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I’m Mic ... Show More
