logo
episode-header-image
Nov 2024
38m 8s

The Art of Uncertainty: Rethinking Luck ...

S&P GLOBAL
About this episode
tail spinning
Up next
Sep 21
The Resilience Imperative | Look Forward Ep. 39
Host Naki Mendoza talks with Lindsey Hall, Global Head of Thought Leadership at S&P Global Horizons, about why "resilience" has become the organizing idea of sustainability in 2026 and the anchor theme of the new edition of S&P Global's Sustainability Quarterly. Together, they un ... Show More
40m 55s
Aug 27
China's Industrial Policy Reset: Autonomy and Productivity | Look Forward Ep. 38
In this episode of the Look Forward podcast, host Naki Mendoza turns the tables on regular co-host Aries Poon, one of the lead authors of the research, to unpack what's actually changed in Beijing's industrial playbook — and why it matters for global supply chains, competitors, a ... Show More
22m 33s
Aug 17
Pressure Points: Liquidity, Complexity, and the Rise of Private Credit | Look Forward Ep. 37
Private credit has grown from a post-financial-crisis gap-filler into a roughly $2 trillion market — and with investor redemptions and AI disruption fears making headlines, it's facing fresh scrutiny. Host Molly Mintz is joined by S&P Global Ratings' Matthew Mitchell, Managing Di ... Show More
26m 18s
Recommended Episodes
Sep 2025
Sir David Spiegelhalter: Statistics, Communicating in Crises, and Living with Uncertainty
Why do we fear uncertainty—and what can statistics teach us about living with it? Nicolai Tangen speaks with Sir David Spiegelhalter, one of the world's leading statisticians and expert communicator of risk, to explore how we navigate an unpredictable world. From the psychology o ... Show More
57m 13s
Aug 2024
Smart vs. Stupid Risk Taking — with Nate Silver
Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight and Substack writer of “Silver Bulletin,” joins Scott to discuss his latest book, “ON THE EDGE: The Art of Risking Everything.” We hear about the role of risk in shaping modern life, his background in election forecasting, and his thoug ... Show More
42 m
Sep 2024
Nate Silver: Do risk-takers run the world?
Big stakes poker player and elections analyst Nate Silver is no stranger to a calculated risk. In his new book, On The Edge, he makes the case that people willing to take massive calculated risks are winning in the modern economy. Tim Harford talks to Nate about the mindset that’ ... Show More
8m 59s
Jan 2022
Business Weekly: Connecting the Dots, with Dr Christian Busch
Dr Christian Busch has spent his career studying chance, serendipity, and how to maximise opportunity. He is director of the Center for Global Affairs' Global Economy Program at New York University and his new book, Connect the Dots, analyses the art and science of creating good ... Show More
49m 11s
Mar 2023
Sam Conniff (Replay): How To Deal With Uncertainty
This is a replay episode. I have two very exciting guests for you today, the brilliant Sam Conniff and Katherine Templar Lewis, who are here to talk all about uncertainty, a theme that feels especially prominent right now. Life is uncertain and it feels so difficult to deal with. ... Show More
31m 23s
Feb 2024
The Signal and The Noise - Nate Silver
Making good predictions is tough. We think we know more than we do and let emotions and biases creep in. How do some forecasters beat the odds? Our hosts, Nico and Sam, chat about the book "The Signal and the Noise" by Nate Silver exploring why predictions fail and uncovering pra ... Show More
35m 44s
Apr 2023
#107 — Is Life Actually Worth Living?
Sam Harris speaks with David Benatar about his philosophy of “anti-natalism.” They discuss the asymmetry between the good and bad things in life, the ethics of existential risk, the moral landscape, the limits and paradoxes of introspection, the “experience machine” thought exper ... Show More
49m 15s
Sep 2024
Why you should take more risks, with Nate Silver
Every career involves choices; every choice involves risk. But being able to size up those risks, and think coolly about which are worth taking, can make the process of choosing between options much easier. The problem? Most of us aren’t actually very good at evaluating risk. In ... Show More
17m 30s
Mar 2025
Uncertainty
Anne McElvoy and guests discuss the issue of uncertainty from scientific discovery and the space race to the shifting geopolitical landscape and how it can act as a catalyst for creativity. She's joined by the entrepreneur and author of Embracing Uncertainty, Margaret Heffernan, ... Show More
56m 58s