Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight and Substack writer of “Silver Bulletin,” joins Scott to discuss his latest book, “ON THE EDGE: The Art of Risking Everything.” We hear about the role of risk in shaping modern life, his background in election forecasting, and his thoughts on Kamala Harris’s VP pick. Follow Nate, @NateSilver538.
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Aug 7
The Week: How Leverage Broke the AI Trade
George Hahn connects the dots across the week’s biggest stories: how leverage brought down one of the hottest AI hedge funds, why South Korea’s market crash offers a warning for American investors, and what Sam Harris teaches us about attention, anxiety, and the pursuit of happin ... Show More
17m 2s
Sep 2024
Why you should take more risks, with Nate Silver
Every career involves choices; every choice involves risk. But being able to size up those risks, and think coolly about which are worth taking, can make the process of choosing between options much easier. The problem? Most of us aren’t actually very good at evaluating risk. In ... Show More
17m 30s
Aug 2024
The Habits of Highly Effective Risk-Takers
You may know Nate Silver as an election forecaster. But he’s a poker player as well. And his experiences operating in a world of competition and risk led him to explore what his fellow gamblers, as well as hedge fund managers, venture capitalists, and many other kinds of maverick ... Show More
43m 24s
Feb 2025
Nate Silver (statistician)
Nate Silver (On the Edge, The Signal and the Noise, Baseball Between the Numbers) is a statistician, author, and founder of FiveThirtyEight. Nate joins the Armchair Expert to discuss his youthful aspirations for a starter job as US president with a promotion to baseball commissio ... Show More
1h 32m
Oct 2024
#389 — The Politics of Risk
<p>Sam Harris speaks with Nate Silver about cultural attitudes toward risk and the state of American politics. They discuss the erosion of trust in liberal institutions, polling and political narratives, different camps of cultural elites, the influence of Silicon Valley, Peter T ... Show More
33m 53s
Aug 2025
Nate Silver on Life's Mixed Strategies
In his third appearance on Conversations with Tyler, Nate Silver looks back at past predictions, weighs how academic ideas such as expected utility theory fare in practice, and examines the world of sports through the lens of risk and prediction. Tyler and Nate dive into expected ... Show More
1h 3m
Oct 2024
How Will The 2024 Election Play Out? - Nate Silver - #846
Nate Silver is a statistician, writer of Silver Bulletin, and Founder of FiveThirtyEight. No one truly knows who will win an election, but if anyone does, it's Nate. He is the man behind the most accurate, sophisticated polling data assessments in America and has an insight into ... Show More
1h 10m
Mar 2019
#53 Howard Marks: Luck, Risk and Avoiding Losers
Billionaire investor, author and co-founder of Oaktree Capital Howard Marks discusses risk assessment, how to think different than the crowd, and the three mighty dares that separate the successful from the also-rans. Go Premium: Members get early access, ad-free episodes, hand-e ... Show More
1h 33m