logo
episode-header-image
Nov 2024
55m 17s

Emil Verner on Banking Crises, Credit Bo...

MERCATUS CENTER AT GEORGE MASON UNIVERSITY
About this episode

Emil Verner is an associate professor of finance at MIT Sloan and is a research fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research. Emil has written widely on financial stability, banking panics, and credit booms, and he joins David on Macro Musings to talk about these issues. Specifically, David and Emil also discuss the causes and policy implications of bank failures, the shortcomings of the Diamond-Dybvig model of bank runs, how financial crises spur the rise of populism, and much more.

 

Transcript for this week’s episode.

 

Register now for Building a Better Fed Framework: The AIER Monetary Conference.

 

Emil’s Twitter: @EmilVerner

Emil’s website

 

David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

 

Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!

Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!

 

Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

Check out our Macro Musings merch!

 

Related Links:

 

*Failing Banks* by Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner

 

*Banking Crises Without Panics* by Matthew Baron, Emil Verner, and Wei Xiong

 

*Financial Crisis, Creditor-Debor Conflict, and Populism* by Gyozo Gyongyosi and Emil Verner

 

*Fragile by Design: The Political Origins of Banking Crises and Scarce Credit* by Charles Calomiris and Stephen Haber

 

*Going to Extremes: Politics After Financial Crises, 1870-2014* by Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick, and Christoph Trebesch

 

Timestamps:

 

(00:00:00) – Intro

 

(00:03:45) – Why Do We Care About Banking Panics and Financial Stability?

 

(00:05:42) – Breaking Down the Causes of Bank Failures and its Policy Implications

 

(00:13:38) – Exploring the Historical Banking Data

 

(00:15:59) – *Failing Banks*: Key Findings and Takeaways

 

(00:24:00) – *Banking Crises Without Panics*

 

(00:28:05) – Responding to the Diamond-Dybvig Model of Bank Runs

 

(00:33:29) – Applying the Bank Solvency Story to the Great Financial Crisis

 

(00:36:16) – The Impact of Credit Booms

 

(00:40:56) – What Are the Necessary Policy Prescriptions?

 

(00:43:08) – Why is Diamond-Dybvig So Popular?

 

(00:47:01) – *Financial Crisis, Creditor-Debtor Conflict, and Populism*

 

(00:52:55) – How Do We Stem the Tide of Populism in the Future?

 

(00:54:36) – Outro

Up next
Oct 6
Raphael Bostic on Life as a Regional Fed President, the Responsibilities of a Dual Mandate, and the Results of the 2025 Framework Review
Raphael Bostic is the president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. In President Bostic’s first appearance on the show, he discusses his love of birding, what that teaches him about central banking, the unique role of the Federal Reserve Bank of At ... Show More
42m 44s
Sep 29
Jon Hartley on the Legacy of John Taylor and his New Measure of R-Star
Jon Hartley is a macroeconomist and affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center. Jon returns to the show to discuss the most recent Hoover Monetary Conference, the legacy of John Taylor, why central banks should be using his new measure of r-star, the status of debt management at t ... Show More
1h 4m
Sep 22
Marc Giannoni on the Fed’s Framework Review, it’s Independence, and the Future of R-Star
Marc Giannoni is a managing director and the chief US economist at Barclays Capital. In Marc’s first appearance on the show he discusses working on the 2020 Fed Framework Review, the troubling issues of Fed independence and fiscal dominance, the future of long rates and r-star, h ... Show More
56m 29s
Recommended Episodes
Mar 2024
How JPMorgan thrived amid a banking crisis
It’s been a year since Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse left everyone worried that the US’s banking sector sat on shaky ground. Despite that turmoil, one bank stands out: JPMorgan Chase. The largest bank in the country, JPMorgan took home record profits in 2023, and its dominance l ... Show More
17m 51s
Jan 2025
10 questions sur les crises bancaires
Les banques constituent naturellement des institutions dans nos sociétés contemporaines. Des piliers de nos modèles économiques modernes. On les pense inébranlables tant leur puissance économique se conçoit aisément. Dès lors, envisager la notion même de crise bancaire semble au ... Show More
48m 22s
Jun 2023
The Music Is About To Stop: John Toohig & Randy Woodward on Bank Lending, Deflation, and Secondary Loan Liquidity
Today, Jack speaks with two veteran bankers about bank lending, a key engine of the real economy, and where it is headed. John Toohig, Head of Whole Loan Trading at Raymond James, and Randy Woodward, managing director at Raymond James, join Forward Guidance to share how the rapid ... Show More
1h 19m
Apr 2025
"Big Short" Inspiration Steve Eisman on 2008 vs. Today: Are We Heading for Another Financial Crisis?
In this insightful clip from MM, Rashad Bilal and Troy Millings sit down with Steve Eisman, the legendary investor who famously predicted the 2008 financial crisis and was portrayed in "The Big Short." Eisman shares his expert perspective on the current state of the economy, eval ... Show More
10m 47s
Nov 2024
The Future of Banking
Professor Itay Goldstein is joined by Hyun Song Shin, economic adviser and head of research at the Bank for International Settlements, and Loretta Mester, former President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Together, they explore the 2023 banking crisis, focusing o ... Show More
33m 23s
Jun 2024
Bankers vs the Fed: ‘Endgame’
Banks in the US are locked in a bitter fight with regulators. It’s all about a proposed set of rules with an unusual name, Basel III Endgame. Regulators say the rules will help avoid future banking crises. Banks say they’re overkill and could hurt everyday Americans. The FT’s US ... Show More
17m 39s
Oct 2024
Could Italy’s UniCredit reignite European banking?
After the financial crisis, dealmaking among banks in different countries in Europe fell to a standstill. But recently, Italian lender UniCredit revealed that it had built up a stake in Germany’s Commerzbank, prompting discussions of a possible tie-up. EU policymakers and politic ... Show More
18m 40s
Jan 2017
JAMES RICKARDS - THE ROAD TO RUIN
James Rickards is an American lawyer and a regular commentator on finance. He is the author of The New York Times bestseller Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, published in 2011, The Death of Money: The Coming Collapse of the International Monetary System, publi ... Show More
1h 26m
Apr 2023
Chris Whalen on Big Bank Earnings and the Return of Credit Risk
Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, returns to Forward Guidance to comment on the ample and growing earnings of the big banks (particularly JPMorgan Chase, whose stock surged over 7% on rosy net income and increasing deposits). Whalen argues that banks’ unrealized l ... Show More
50m 13s
Jun 2023
Can The Banks Survive Another Rate Increase?
On today’s show we are talking about the coming financial crisis. You might be wondering how I can say that. We are not seeing more bank failures since the failure of First republic Bank.  We are seeing signs of it creeping into the news headlines. Yesterday’s Wall Street Journal ... Show More
6m 9s