Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, returns to Forward Guidance to comment on the ample and growing earnings of the big banks (particularly JPMorgan Chase, whose stock surged over 7% on rosy net income and increasing deposits).
Whalen argues that banks’ unrealized losses on their securities due to interest rate risk have gone down dramatically ... Show More
Nov 20
AI’s CapEx Frenzy Hits Wall of Fed Hawkishness | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss NVIDIA’s latest earnings, how shifting credit dynamics could reshape the next phase of the AI boom, what the Fed’s mixed signals really imply for markets, and why global FX moves are sending quiet warnings. We also dig into the surprising forces driving cryp ... Show More
1h 1m
Nov 19
Why Cross-Border Flows Matter More Than Rate Cuts | Capital Flows
In this episode, Capital Flows joins the show to break down how credit growth, falling real rates, and strong cross-border flows fueled the rally from April through summer, and why the Fed’s recent hawkish shift has introduced short-term volatility without meaningfully raising re ... Show More
51m 45s
Nov 14
Hawkish Fed, Credit Stress & A K-Shaped America | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss markets wobbling as a pointless government shutdown, delayed data releases, and a hawkish Fed collide with rising credit stress, over-levered AI giants, and widening inequality. Enjoy!
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51m 11s
Mar 2024
How JPMorgan thrived amid a banking crisis
<p>It’s been a year since Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse left everyone worried that the US’s banking sector sat on shaky ground. Despite that turmoil, one bank stands out: JPMorgan Chase. The largest bank in the country, JPMorgan took home record profits in 2023, and its dom ... Show More
17m 51s
Aug 2024
The Hottest Way for Banks to Get Risk Off Their Balance Sheets
Synthetic risk transfers, in which banks purchase insurance-like protection on some of their loans, is a growing market on Wall Street, with billions worth of deals made in the US last year. But of course, anything with the words "synthetic" and "risk transfer" is probably going ... Show More
52m 16s
Jul 2024
The Tech Sell-off and Beyond, Chips Try to Rebound, Sen. Vance's Wall Street Message 7/18/24
<p>One day after the worst session for the Nasdaq since December 2022, Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber explored what's ahead for the tech sector. Chips hoped to recoup some of Wednesday's steep losses after Taiwan Semiconductor reported better-than expected revenue g ... Show More
41m 52s
Oct 17
On banks, gold and the USD
US stocks opened higher yesterday, but then reversed course. Small caps underperformed, and market volatility rose amid credit concerns at regional banks. In Europe, Swiss and French equity markets outperformed, supported by positive corporate news and France temporarily avoiding ... Show More
14m 51s