Our Global Head of Fixed Income recaps the aftermath of the first U.S. presidential debate, and how markets may react if forthcoming poll data shows a meaningful shift in the race.
Nov 2024
Count down to the US election | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
On Friday, the US announced a meagre 12K nonfarm job additions last month, the manufacturing and private nonfarm payrolls printed negative numbers. But the bright spot was that unemployment remained steady at 4.1% - suggesting that the NFP number probably took a one-off hit, and ... Show More
11m 13s
Oct 2024
Spotlight on the US Elections
Three big things you need to know: First, our survey results, which are bottom-up in nature and driven by domestic policy views, imply that the event is relevant to US equity markets, but perhaps less so than some market participants may believe. For our US analysts, a Republican ... Show More
6m 30s
Nov 2024
Trump’s victory sparks US equity rally
<p>With Mr Trump confirmed as the next US President and a Republican sweep priced in as a 94% probability, US equities, especially those likely to benefit from his policy changes, took off yesterday. The rally was echoed by the US dollar and Bitcoin. US Treasuries sold off on exp ... Show More
17m 36s
Mar 2025
A Trump Slump? How to Navigate Choppy Markets
It has been a wild few weeks in markets.
By last week, the S&P 500 had wiped out all its gains since Election Day – $3.4 trillion in value. When Trump was asked about the possibility of a recession over the weekend, he said the US was in a “period of transition.”
Then on Monday, ... Show More
16m 40s
Mar 2025
Is Trump leading us into a recession?
<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: transparent;">In an interview broadcast on Sunday, President Donald Trump </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/03/09/trump-recession-economy-inflation/?utm_source=podcasts&utm_medium=referral&u ... Show More
20m 23s
Nov 12
“Is Trump Buying Votes?” - $2,000 Tariff Dividend Debate: Smart Strategy or Political Bribe?
Trump proposes a $2,000 “tariff dividend” for Americans, claiming his trade policies made the U.S. rich again. Patrick Bet-David and the crew debate whether it’s smart economic relief or vote-buying, how tariffs could pay down debt, and why both parties keep growing America’s $37 ... Show More
14m 14s