logo
episode-header-image
Aug 2024
43m 24s

The Habits of Highly Effective Risk-Take...

THE ART OF MANLINESS
About this episode
You may know Nate Silver as an election forecaster. But he’s a poker player as well. And his experiences operating in a world of competition and risk led him to explore what his fellow gamblers, as well as hedge fund managers, venture capitalists, and many other kinds of maverick types do differently than other people. Amongst the findings Nate shares in hi ... Show More
Up next
Feb 24
Born to Carry — How to Build Strength, Stamina, and Sanity Through Rucking
If you're looking for a way to improve your fitness, boost your mental health, and reconnect with a deeply human activity — all without going to the gym or pounding your knees on a daily run — then rucking may be the practice you've been looking for.Rucking is simple: throw some ... Show More
51m 31s
Feb 17
How to Have the Conversations You’ve Been Avoiding
The awkward silence at work when everyone knows a project is going off the rails.The simmering resentment in a marriage over an issue neither spouse will confront.The dysfunction in a church where certain topics are understood to be off-limits.My guest, Joseph Grenny, says that s ... Show More
48m 55s
Feb 10
Ecclesiastes on Enjoying Our Weirdly Unsatisfying Lives
Of all the books in the Bible, Ecclesiastes is arguably the most philosophical. Dark, experiential, existential, and unsparingly honest about the human condition, it wrestles with work, money, ambition, pleasure, time, and death — and it does so in a way that feels uncannily mode ... Show More
55m 35s
Recommended Episodes
Sep 2024
Nate Silver: Do risk-takers run the world?
Big stakes poker player and elections analyst Nate Silver is no stranger to a calculated risk. In his new book, On The Edge, he makes the case that people willing to take massive calculated risks are winning in the modern economy. Tim Harford talks to Nate about the mindset that’ ... Show More
8m 59s
Nov 2024
TIP677: You Can Be a Stock Market Genius w/ Roger Fan
On today’s episode, Clay is joined by Roger Fan to discuss Joel Greenblatt’s book, “You can be a Stock Market Genius.” Joel Greenblatt is one of the greatest hedge fund managers of all time. Greenblatt famously averaged 40% a year over 20 years. At that rate, $1 million grows int ... Show More
1h 9m
Jun 2025
Annie Duke Thinks You Should Quit (Update)
tail spinning
48m 25s
Aug 2024
Smart vs. Stupid Risk Taking — with Nate Silver
Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight and Substack writer of “Silver Bulletin,” joins Scott to discuss his latest book, “ON THE EDGE: The Art of Risking Everything.” We hear about the role of risk in shaping modern life, his background in election forecasting, and his thoug ... Show More
42 m
Apr 2025
TIP715: Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke
In this episode, Clay explores the book Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke, a guide to making better decisions under uncertainty. Drawing from her career as a professional poker player, Annie shares how to separate decision quality from outcomes and avoid the trap of “resulting.” Cl ... Show More
56m 10s
Feb 2025
Nate Silver (statistician)
<p>Nate Silver (On the Edge, The Signal and the Noise, Baseball Between the Numbers) is a statistician, author, and founder of FiveThirtyEight. Nate joins the Armchair Expert to discuss his youthful aspirations for a starter job as US president with a promotion to baseball commis ... Show More
1h 32m
Feb 2025
TIP699: Unlocking High-Growth Investments w/ Jason Donville and Jesse Gamble
In today's episode, Kyle Grieve chats with Jason Donville and Jesse Gamble about their investing philosophy, their emphasis on focusing on growth and value, their evolution from using ROE-focused metrics to the rule of 40 to identify great investing opportunities, how to use the ... Show More
1h 4m
Nov 2024
TIP678: Mastering Focus Investing: Lessons From The Legends w/ Kyle Grieve
On today’s episode, Kyle Grieve discusses major takeaways from the book The Warren Buffett Portfolio, including why concentrated portfolios offer the highest probabilities of outperforming, how focus investors think about risk, Warren Buffett’s four-step framework for identifying ... Show More
58m 25s
Aug 2024
RWH048: Betting Billions On Outlier Talent w/ Adam Shapiro
In this episode, William Green chats with Adam Shapiro, Managing Partner at East Rock Capital. Adam oversees billions on behalf of eight vastly rich families, allocating their assets to everything from hedge funds to private equity. Here, he explains how to build & safeguard weal ... Show More
1h 55m
Sep 2024
TIP662: Building Buffett: The Foundation Of Success w/ Kyle Grieve
On today’s episode, Kyle Grieve discusses an underrated book called “Warren Buffett’s Ground Rules” by Jeremy Miller, he’ll discuss how to avoid being taken advantage of by Mr. Market, how to maximize the effects of compounding, how Warren thinks about tracking investment perform ... Show More
1h 9m