logo
episode-header-image
Sep 2023
17m 11s

Central banks made bonds sell off

JULIUS BAER
About this episode

This week, one central bank after another made it clear that interest rates need to stay higher for longer. As a result, government bond yields rose sharply, the US dollar strengthened and equities sold off. Only the Bank of Japan remains on a different wavelength, keeping its monetary policy as loose as ever. In Asia, the positive news is that China may allow the immediate transfer of investment-related funds in and out of the country, while India's government bonds will be included in a major global bond index. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, notes that the Swiss National Bank's decision not to raise interest rates was the most surprising, but also the most understandable. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, makes the point that good news on the economy is bad news for gold.

00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)

00:31 Markets wrap-up by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)

06:22 FX and metals update by Tim Gagie (Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva)

11:32 Gold by Carsten Menke (Head of Next Generation Research)

15:58 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)


Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favourite podcast player. 

Up next
Yesterday
The View Beyond: Market Outlook Year-End 2026 – US headlines, global opportunities
As we head towards the final quarter of 2026, investors face a shifting landscape where AI remains the key growth engine but market leadership is broadening beyond US technology. With volatility persisting and geopolitical risks still in focus, where might the best opportunities ... Show More
16m 31s
Sep 11
A hawkish ECB and 10-year US Treasury yield near 5%
US and European bond yields rose sharply as investors priced in higher inflation amid this week's rise in oil prices. The 10-year US Treasury yield approached 5%, but the increase in bond yields was truly global, weighing on global equities and precious metals. Despite the broade ... Show More
15m 47s
Sep 10
Oil surges, yields spike and central banks take centre stage
Markets remain under pressure as oil prices continue to climb, with Brent crude now trading above the psychologically significant USD 100 per barrel mark. Attention is firmly focused on today’s European Central Bank rate decision, where another hike is widely expected, as well as ... Show More
10m 33s
Recommended Episodes
Apr 2022
The Bank of Japan Is Playing a Dangerous Game
Prices for assets of all kinds were up Wednesday, including stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. The U.S. dollar continued to strengthen, and global bond yields marched higher. That’s despite the emergence of still more signs of underlying weakness, including Robinhood layi ... Show More
39m 12s
May 2023
Gold and yen scorched by rising yields, Nvidia saves stocks
Send us Fan MailDollar continues its grind higher, empowered by Fed bets and risk aversion. Gold gets burned by rising yields, central bank divergence hits Japanese yen. Stocks close lower, but Nvidia earnings turn markets around after-hours.Risk Warning: Our services involve a s ... Show More
4m 19s
Aug 2022
The Sun Overdose for European stocks...
The week starts moody in Asia, as economic data from China and Japan missed estimates early this Monday. Crude oil begins the week under selling pressure around the $91 per barrel. US index futures are down, but interestingly, the European futures were better bid in Asia; but new ... Show More
11m 3s
Sep 2022
It's a Busy Week for Central Bankers
The Federal Reserve is just one of 16 central banks making interest-rate decisions this week, but it is the most widely watched monetary policy body in the world. And its current path – errant though it may be – is having a profound effect on the global economy by pushing up the ... Show More
35m 29s
Aug 2023
The central bankers’ rodeo
<p>The central bankers of the world are just back from Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where they gathered to discuss the global economy. Two new papers dropped at the event, and together they say a lot about what worries policymakers: public debt and the Treasury markets. Also, we go lon ... Show More
17m 43s
Jan 2025
Lots More on the Global Selloff in Government Bonds
One of the biggest stories in markets right now is the huge selloff in government bonds. And we're not just talking about the US here. The UK is seeing multi-year highs in long-end yields. So is Japan. And of course, the US 10-year Treasury is close to its highest level in a year ... Show More
22m 6s
Aug 2025
The Week in Markets: Two milestones in the US stock market, and one in China’s
The Beyond Markets podcast channel is wrapping up on a high note at the end of 2025. But do not worry! The conversation continues on our podcast Moving Markets by Julius Baer, where we'll be sharing fresh insights and analysis on current market developments. Subscribe to Moving M ... Show More
12m 27s