logo
episode-header-image
Sep 2023
17m 11s

Central banks made bonds sell off

JULIUS BAER
About this episode

This week, one central bank after another made it clear that interest rates need to stay higher for longer. As a result, government bond yields rose sharply, the US dollar strengthened and equities sold off. Only the Bank of Japan remains on a different wavelength, keeping its monetary policy as loose as ever. In Asia, the positive news is that China may allow the immediate transfer of investment-related funds in and out of the country, while India's government bonds will be included in a major global bond index. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, notes that the Swiss National Bank's decision not to raise interest rates was the most surprising, but also the most understandable. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, makes the point that good news on the economy is bad news for gold.

00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)

00:31 Markets wrap-up by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)

06:22 FX and metals update by Tim Gagie (Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva)

11:32 Gold by Carsten Menke (Head of Next Generation Research)

15:58 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)


Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favourite podcast player. 

Up next
Today
New tariff threats fail to dent enthusiasm for equities
President Trump delivers more tariff letters and lays down the gauntlet to Brazil – announcing a 50% tariff on their exports into the US. Copper also faces a 50% import tariff. US markets rally on artificial intelligence enthusiasm as Nvidia buoys tech stocks, becoming the first ... Show More
19m 16s
Yesterday
Stocks stay put and yields rise as tariffs are back in vogue
Stock markets remain quiet, shrugging off President Trump's assertive rhetoric on additional tariffs and his stance that no exemptions will be made ahead of the 1st August deadline for reciprocal tariffs. Nevertheless, government bond yields are rising across major markets due to ... Show More
16m 1s
Jul 8
Trade letters trickling in
The US sent a flurry of ‘trade letters' to numerous countries yesterday, stating that it will impose steep tariffs from 1 August 2025 unless these countries take steps to open their markets to American products. Meanwhile, US President Trump signed an executive order, delaying th ... Show More
11m 16s
Recommended Episodes
Oct 2023
Adrian Day: Gold Will Soar Once Investors Realize Inflation is Beyond Feds Control
Tom welcomes back Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management to discuss the current state of the economy and investor expectations. Day believes that the effects of the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes in January 2020 will soon be felt, but he does not predict a market crash. Howe ... Show More
1h 5m
Mar 2023
Federal Reserve: Rate Hike, ‘Additional Policy Firming’
Nasdaq, S&P futures rebound from post-Fed slump as markets price in no more hikes (00:56). Coinbase (COIN) stock slides 14% after the bell as SEC warns of potential charges. (04:46) J&J (JNJ) turns to Supreme Court to OK unit bankruptcy plan for talc lawsuits - report (07:34). Ou ... Show More
10m 3s
Sep 2022
Money Talks: The rate shock
The world’s financial markets are going through their most painful adjustment since the global financial crisis. Global stock markets have sold off sharply and bond markets are on course for their worst year since 1949. The British pound briefly fell to its lowest level ever agai ... Show More
33m 51s
Sep 2022
Money Talks: The rate shock
The world’s financial markets are going through their most painful adjustment since the global financial crisis. Global stock markets have sold off sharply and bond markets are on course for their worst year since 1949. The British pound briefly fell to its lowest level ever agai ... Show More
33m 51s
Sep 2022
It's a Busy Week for Central Bankers
The Federal Reserve is just one of 16 central banks making interest-rate decisions this week, but it is the most widely watched monetary policy body in the world. And its current path – errant though it may be – is having a profound effect on the global economy by pushing up the ... Show More
34m 29s
May 2023
The Return Of Bank Runs | Sheila Bair, Former FDIC Chair
During her tenure as Chair of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) from 2006 to 2011, Sheila Bair managed over 300 bank failures, including the collapse of Washington Mutual in September 2008, the largest bank failure in American history.Bair joins Forward Guidance to ... Show More
57m 15s
Apr 2024
Tony Greer: There is No Bubble In Gold
Tom welcomes back Tony Greer from the Morning Navigator to delve into the various market trends and investment strategies. Greer, who is bullish on gold, S&P, industrial miners, and uranium, while bearish on bonds, shares his perspective on the current economic climate. He refere ... Show More
43m 10s
Dec 2023
Outlook 2024 with JPMorgan: Will Cuts be the Catalysts for Macros and Markets?
Central banks around the world are starting to signal a shift in monetary policy, hinting at potential interest rate cuts in 2024. This comes after months of aggressive tightening to combat rising inflation. Market projections suggest at least 100 basis points (bps) of cuts by th ... Show More
26m 22s
Feb 2024
Fed Minutes Show Most Official Noted Risks of Cutting Too Quickly
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg News International Economics & Policy Correspondent Michael McKee and Bloomberg Economics Chief US Economist Anna Wong break down the of minutes of the Jan. 30-31 FOMC meeting showing that most Federa ... Show More
42m 27s