logo
episode-header-image
Jun 2023
24m 9s

Oops - that wasn’t supposed to happen po...

SAXOSTRATS
About this episode

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3qfu4gO   -

Today we discuss the market action yesterday possibly suggesting a "buy the fact" moment for risk appetite on the debt ceiling lifting after the US Senate signed on to the deal yesterday. This, after many, ourselves included, have fretted the impact of the coming blitz of Treasury issuance on liquidity. We also quantify what is coming, in terms of the pace of Treasury bill issuance and discuss the confusion around the speculative positioning in treasury markets - is the pain trade for higher or lower yields? Elsewhere, have ECB expectations come off too aggressively, what are we watching for in crude ahead of the OPEC+s meeting this weekend, some stocks to watch, including Tesla, and much more, including several answers to SMC listeners' questions in our most recent survey. Today's pod features Althea Spinozzi on fixed income, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Up next
Today
Has market made up its mind no matter what Nvidia delivers tonight?
Today, a look at how the market may treat the Nvidia earnings call tonight almost irrespective of the quality of its results if big money has made up its mind what it wants to do with AI names before the event risk itself. We also delve further into what is at stake as Trump cont ... Show More
26m 54s
Yesterday
Europe on edge as the bad penny of French politics turns up again
Today, a look at markets unwinding much of the reaction to the Powell's Jackson Hole speech, the bad vibes in Europe this morning as French politics are set for another showdown into a September 8 confidence vote, Trump's trying to fire the Fed's Lisa Cook and whether he can succ ... Show More
16m 9s
Aug 25
Much ado about a modest Jackson Hole something
Today we pick apart the market drama that unfolded in the wake of a modestly dovish Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Powell, with market divergences more compelling to discuss than the speech itself and its boost to the broader market. We also emphasize that the week ahead coul ... Show More
20m 38s
Recommended Episodes
Mar 2024
Strong risk appetite boost meme stock trading | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Yesterday was a strong day in terms of meme trading and speculation; Donald Trump’s Truth Social flew with its own wings for the first time yesterday and rose up to 60% under the ticker DJT before settling 16% higher at the end of the session, Reddit also saw some nice intraday v ... Show More
10m 37s
May 2023
Debt Deal Heads To Vote
The debt ceiling deal moves towards a vote in Congress, what’s next for stocks and bonds with the tail risk of default almost gone and Salesforce (CRM) is expected to join the AI bandwagon as it reports results this week. Our links: Wall Street Breakfast: Seeking Alpha's Wall Str ... Show More
6m 50s
Apr 2024
Now Bulls Can’t Leave with Ben Kallo of RW Baird
On this episode of “On The Tape,” Dan Nathan, Guy Adami and Danny Moses discuss the stock market moving on Fed cut expectations (3:00), what the rally in gold is telling us about the market (14:00), weakness in the Yen (17:00), the Jobs Report (18:00), huge moves in some of the b ... Show More
1h 5m
Jan 2024
Central banks pushing back on rate cut expectations
The market’s positioning for aggressive cuts in the US and Europe is being tested this week by several central bank officials. All of this is pushing US and European bond yields higher and continuing to weigh on equity markets. In Asia, a stock selloff deepened after fresh data r ... Show More
16m 6s
May 2023
Markets calm but nervous as debt ceiling and Fed drama drag on
Biden-McCarthy talks end with no deal but both sides remain hopeful. Stocks subdued but dollar edges up as Fed rhetoric stays on the hawkish side. Euro slips as mixed PMIs unable to lend much support. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the los ... Show More
4m 15s
Jan 2024
Stock markets in a hangover mood - and the Fed offers no medicine
Equity markets continued to slide yesterday, with most markets posting negative performance for the day. Economic data pointing to some weakness in the US and China, as well as the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December meeting, have been the main talking points over the last ... Show More
11m 26s
Nov 2023
Financial Market Preview - Tuesday 28-Nov
US futures are pointing to a lower open as of 04:05 ET. European equity markets have opened lower, following mixed levels in Asian markets. No change in market drivers. Equity markets easing after recent strength. Focus still on the central bank policy outlook. ECB's Cos says it ... Show More
4m 6s
Apr 2024
The moral of the story: high expectations are hard to beat | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Meta fell 15% in the afterhours trading despite earnings beat as investors didn’t like the weaker-than-expected revenue forecast for the current quarter and even less the news that the company will be spending more money to improve its AI capabilities. Tesla jumped 12% regardless ... Show More
10m 13s
Jun 2023
I Feel The Market Move Under My Feet with Gabriela Santos of J.P. Morgan
The debt ceiling issue has been resolved, Dan Nathan, Danny Moses and Guy Adami break down the market's reaction (2:00). The Nvidia mania continues to lift stocks, shades of the dot-com era (10:00). Retail stocks are starting to feel some weakness (24:00). Gabriela Santos, Managi ... Show More
1h 6m
Jul 2023
Markets dominated by central banks
After the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point and the European Central Bank followed suit, it was the Bank of Japan’s turn to announce its policy decisions this morning. While leaving its monetary policy unchanged, it signalled a loosening ... Show More
15m 42s