Recent data has shown the consumer made a comeback in the first month of the year, but as Andreas Steno Larsen reveals, that may be only half true. Watch this edition of Steno’s Signals to find out why seasonal adjustments may be sending misleading signs about how the economy is actually faring. Recorded on February 21, 2023.
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Nov 2
Why the Midterms Matter for Market Liquidity | Macro Mondays: Nov. 2, 2026
With the U.S. midterm elections just one day away, Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to break down the forces shaping markets as November gets underway. They examine the battle for control of Congress and what the outcome could mean for markets, the disconnect between s ... Show More
30m 14s
Apr 2024
Grocery prices, credit card debt, and your 401K (Two Indicators)
What's going on with consumers? This is one of the trickiest puzzles of this weird economic moment we're in. We've covered a version of this before under the term "vibecession," but it's safe to say, the struggle is in fact real. It is not just in our heads. Sure, sure, some data ... Show More
17m 41s
Aug 2024
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Getting it wrong'
The US will be revising last year’s non-farm payrolls data. Markets have a heightened interest in the labor market, and these revisions are likely to be negative. However, this does not change anything about the economy. Making payrolls marginally less inaccurate is about spin, n ... Show More
2m 14s