logo
episode-header-image
Jul 2023
22m 21s

A different way to understand the US eco...

Financial Times
About this episode

Under “normal” circumstances, economists and analysts study a variety of specific indicators to understand what’s happening with the US economy. But lately, those indicators have been sending mixed signals. The FT’s US financial commentator Robert Armstrong explains why they’re wonky and how that’s led him to a different data source to help him understand the economy.


Plus, have your own burning questions about business or finance? Send us your questions and we may use them in a future show! 

Record a voice message here: https://sayhi.chat/rmc2b 


Or, email Michela at michela.tindera@ft.com, or message her on Twitter at @mtindera07

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 

For further reading:

Recession odds fall, a bit

There is more slack in labour markets than we think

An ‘immaculate disinflation’ in the US is not guaranteed

Stocks rise on robust US bank earnings and ECB rates signal

Listen to the Unhedged podcast


Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com



Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Up next
Aug 20
Palantir’s relentless rise
Palantir shares have soared this year, making the data analytics company one of the most valuable listed US tech groups. The FT’s Tabby Kinder explains how a paradigm shift in Silicon Valley helped propel Palantir to new heights and why many think it will be among the biggest win ... Show More
23m 29s
Aug 19
Why Big Tobacco is buzzing over nicotine pouches
This is a revised version of an earlier episode and clarifies the position of Zyn in the US market.As the popularity of cigarettes has slid in the past couple decades, Big Tobacco has been searching for a new hit product. Now, they think they’ve found it: nicotine pouches. FT rep ... Show More
20m 58s
Aug 6
Can Bobby Jain build the next hedge fund giant?
Two summers ago, hedge fund manager Bobby Jain set out with a huge goal: build a hedge fund that can rival the likes of industry giants Citadel and Millennium. But in the year since his firm started trading, Jain has found the going tough. FT hedge fund correspondents Amelia Poll ... Show More
22m 14s
Recommended Episodes
Aug 2023
Money Talks: Lessons from the great macro experiment
American economists are scratching their heads in confusion. The Fed’s aggressive rate hikes hasn’t produced the outcome many expected. Instead of recession and massive layoffs, the US economy now looks tantalisingly close to a fabled “soft landing” with the jobs market remaining ... Show More
45m 30s
Aug 2023
Money Talks: Lessons from the great macro experiment
American economists are scratching their heads in confusion. The Fed’s aggressive rate hikes hasn’t produced the outcome many expected. Instead of recession and massive layoffs, the US economy now looks tantalisingly close to a fabled “soft landing” with the jobs market remaining ... Show More
45m 30s
Aug 2023
A tarot card reading for the U.S. economy
Predicting the future of the economy is always a dicey proposition. That is especially true after more than three years of pandemic-related economic weirdness. No one quite knows what will happen next. Will the Fed be able to pull off a soft landing and bring down inflation witho ... Show More
25m 40s
May 2021
A Strange Moment for the U.S. Economy
Why is the economic recovery from the pandemic so uneven? Why are companies finding it hard to hire? And why are the prices of used cars surging?Recent economic reports have commentators scratching their heads. We dig into the theories behind this strange moment for the American ... Show More
33m 16s
Oct 2023
The Fed's Tom Barkin On the Impact of Higher Interest Rates
The US economy has so far withstood the effects of higher interest rates a lot better than expected. Unemployment is still at historic lows, even while inflation has cooled and the Federal Reserve has hiked rates for about 18 months. That's not how things are supposed to work acc ... Show More
43m 43s
Dec 2022
How to Position into the Fed Meeting
Stocks are relatively flat while treasury yields moved higher following an upside surprise in U.S. PPI this morning. Producer prices rose 0.3% month-over-month in November, above market forecasts of 0.2%. In today’s show, Maggie Lake is joined by Spectra Markets’ president Brent ... Show More
41m 35s
Mar 2023
MM104: Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) contagion fears spark a global banking sell-off
In this episode, we take a look at what exactly happened to SVB and why the collapse in their share price on Thursday rippled through the banking sector resulting in the largest four US banks losing some $47bn of market value in just one day. Was the move justified? Could one of ... Show More
25m 46s
Apr 2024
Why the US dollar is the world’s problem
The American economy is strong — and the dollar is extremely expensive. Today on the show, we talk about how the strong dollar affects the rest of the world, pressuring importers, benefitting manufacturers, and causing capital to flow into the United States. Also we go long McDon ... Show More
16m 2s
Aug 2023
Markets upbeat ahead of economic data releases
Global equities advance as investors continue to ponder central bankers’ comments at the Jackson Hole economic symposium last week and ahead of a series of key data releases later this week. Shop price inflation in the UK fell sharply to 6.9% in August reflecting hopes that this ... Show More
15m 58s
Jul 2022
Freaking out about the economy? Let's talk.
Gas prices are high, unemployment is low and the tools the federal government has to fight inflation could cause a recession. So how should we think about the economy right now? We asked our econ reporters and a personal finance columnist for advice.  Read more: Businesses and co ... Show More
30m 33s