On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Andreas and Alfonso welcome John Normand Cross-Asset Strategist, JPM alum for a global macro tour of the world. John walks through the most anticipated recession in history by looking at the current market pricing in FX, rates and credit. Has the forecasted slowdown in 2023 really started to rear its h ... Show More
Nov 2023
The Massive Bond Short | “Recession Denier” Jonny Matthews (ex-Brevan Howard) On The Duration Bubble, Correlation Trades, and Variance Swaps
Jonny Matthews, founder of Super Macro and former portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and managing director at Citi & Saloman Brothers, joins Forward Guidance to share his view on markets and the economy. Having netted a near 100% return in 2022 with a very large short in Treasury ... Show More
1h 22m
Mar 2022
BREAKDOWN: The Market Indicator Flashing ‘Recession’
Why the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted and what it means. This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, Arculus and FTX US. Since 1955, every U.S. recession has been preceded by the inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, meaning that short-dated notes had higher yields than long ... Show More
16m 14s
May 2022
BREAKDOWN: As the Market Slinks Down, It's Time to Touch Grass
A look at FOMC meeting minutes and other macro indicators.This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, NEAR and FTX US. Today on “The Breakdown,” NLW explores the macro set-up, including Fed unanimity on two 50 basis point rate hikes in June and July followed by optionality at the Sept ... Show More
17m 5s
Nov 2023
George Robertson: The Fed Has No Control, There Will Be No Recession, and Fiscal Supremacy Will Drive Stocks To “Ponzi Stage”
George Robertson joins Forward Guidance to argue that the exceptionally large fiscal stimulus will mean that the economic boom has no end in sight. Once the market realizes there will be no recession, Robertson continues, stocks will soar and the 10-year will rise. Robertson make ... Show More
1h 52m
Dec 2023
Kathy Jones: The Bull Case For Bonds, And The Need For “Caution” on Private Credit & Leveraged Loans
Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Schwab, joins Forward Guidance to share her outlook on interest rates, credit spreads, the economy, and the Federal Reserve. Filmed on December 5, 2023.__MetaMask Portfolio is your one-stop shop for all things web3. Instead of connect ... Show More
56m 28s
Mar 2022
BREAKDOWN: The Fed’s Powell Is Getting More Hawkish as Market Starts Using the ‘R-Word’
Is recession the only way out of inflation? This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, Arculus and FTX US. On today’s episode, NLW takes a tour of recent macro sentiment, focusing on the shifting tone coming out of the U.S. Federal Reserve. In speeches and interviews this week, Fed Ch ... Show More
16m 34s