logo
episode-header-image
Jun 2022
4m 2s

Mike Wilson: The Increasing Risk of Rece...

MORGAN STANLEY
About this episode
As price to earnings multiples fall and inflation continues to weigh on the economy, long term earnings estimates may still be too high as the risk of a recession rises. 
Up next
Yesterday
What’s Driving U.S. Growth in 2026
<p>Our Chief U.S. Economist Michael Gapen breaks down how growth, inflation and the AI revolution could play out in 2026.</p><p>Read more&nbsp;<a href="https://www.morganstanley.com/insights?cid=mg-SM_CORP-insights-17607" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">insights</a>&nbs ... Show More
6m 2s
Nov 24
Bull Market Keeps an Eye on the Fed
<p>Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why investors might want to reassess their portfolios, keeping in mind the gap between market moves and monetary policy.</p><p>Read more&nbsp;<a href="https://www.morganstanley.com/insights?cid=mg-SM_CORP-insights-1 ... Show More
4m 12s
Nov 21
AI Capex Boom Puts Credit Markets to the Test
<p>As market murmurs about an AI bubble, our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets offers some perspective on the impacts of the increasing demand for debt.</p><p>Read more&nbsp;<a href="https://www.morganstanley.com/insights?cid=mg-SM_CORP-insights-17607" rel="noopener ... Show More
4m 11s
Recommended Episodes
May 2021
Inflation risks: 'too much complacency'?
<p>In this week’s episode of IG’s Trading the Markets podcast, IGTV’s Victoria Scholar speaks to Daniel Lacalle, chief economist at Tressis, about the post-pandemic recovery for the US economy, monetary and fiscal policy, and the potential economic risks ahead. </p> <p>Lacalle s ... Show More
18m 56s
Sep 2023
No Recession...Yet
Discover the opportunities and risks in our global economy. Richard Duncan joins Andy to discuss how the U.S. has avoided a recession, and why liquidity is your best indicator for stock risks. SHOW NOTES: 8:53: How Did COVID Change Economic Fundamentals? 26:21: What Is The Lesson ... Show More
57m 49s
Jul 2023
Vanguard's Hard Pass on a `Soft Landing'
A rallying stock market and better-than-expected second-quarter economic growth are just the latest developments pointing Wall Street skeptics to the possibility of a US “soft landing.” That’s where the Federal Reserve gets inflation back down to around 2% without triggering a do ... Show More
38m 37s
Jul 2022
Why is Gold falling?
Sentiment is mixed. The S&P500 eked out small gains after a volatile session. The FOMC minutes, released yesterday, came as a confirmation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) remains fully committed to bringing inflation down, even if it means slower growth. But, the recession talk, l ... Show More
10m 58s
Jul 2023
The Fed Rate Increase
<p>On today’s show we are taking a look at interest rates. Yesterday the Federal Reserve increased the Federal Funds rate to a range between 5.25%-5.5%. </p> <p>This clearly sets the stage for short term interest rates to increase. The yield on the 10 year treasury decreased from ... Show More
5m 44s
Apr 2022
Summers Predicts U.S. Recession More Likely Than a Soft Landing
Last year, Larry Summers famously shot down one of the Federal Reserve's favorite buzzwords, "transitory." This year, he's taking aim at "soft landing."The Harvard University professor, former Treasury secretary and paid Bloomberg contributor says a combination of high inflation ... Show More
31m 39s
May 2022
Time to Panic?
Felix and Mihir discuss the turmoil in financial markets and how best to respond as an investor or a corporate executive. Is it time to panic? What is the longer-term outlook for the economy? Will the Federal Reserve be able to tame inflation without causing a recession? They als ... Show More
34m 54s
Jan 2024
Why the Short Volatility Trade Is Back and Bigger Than Ever
There are plenty of one-off risks at the moment, but it seems like betting on pretty much nothing happening is more popular than ever. Investors are increasingly reaching for a wide variety of derivatives to bet against volatility. Those derivatives include one- and zero-day opti ... Show More
45m 10s
Jun 2022
Why Inflation's Fallout Is Becoming Increasingly Global
US inflation is at a 40-year high and the UK is effectively in recession as demand slows for Chinese-made goods. Prime Minister Boris Johnson, though addressing the British economy, could have been speaking for the whole world when he said in a recent interview that “we’re going ... Show More
24m 56s