Opinion Polls for Presidential Elections

In part two of the Data Skeptic Recommender Systems season finale, Kyle asks a deceptively difficult question: what should recommender systems actually optimize for? Drawing on conversations from across the season, the episode explores engagement, filter bubbles, popularity bias, ... Show More

Where did recommender systems come from, and how do we know when they're actually working? In part one of Data Skeptic's three-part Recommender Systems finale, Kyle traces the field from collaborative filtering and the Netflix Prize to matrix factorization and modern approaches, ... Show More

Recommender systems influence nearly every aspect of our digital lives—but what does it mean for those systems to be fair? Robin Burke joins Data Skeptic to discuss the history of recommender systems, the limitations of optimizing purely for accuracy, and how ideas from social ch ... Show More

The 2016 U.S. presidential election is over. And if you'd been following the polls, the results might have been surprising. What went wrong with those polls? It has to do with statistical and systematic uncertainties. Read the full transcript here: http://bit.ly/2gnNRpX Hosted on ... Show More

What can opinion polls really tell us? 

The opinion polling industry’s reputation has taken a battering in recent years, as high profile slip-ups in the US presidential election exposed frailties. So should we write them off? Not according to Economist data journalist G Elliot Morris, who’s written a book called Streng ... Show More

Today, we can’t imagine an election without an opinion poll gauging public opinion on who’s leading, who’s won a debate or who’s more popular with a specific group of voters. Even our favourite chocolate bars and footballers are subject to a poll. But how did straw polls evolve i ... Show More

<p>Nate Cohn, an expert on polling for The New York Times, knows that the predictions for the 2016 presidential election were bad.</p><p>But this year, he says, they were even worse.</p><p>So, what happened?</p><p>Nate talks us through a few of his theories and considers whether, ... Show More

The primary election is in full swing, and our feeds are full of political polls that are surveying everything from who’s on top, to each candidates favorite comfort food. In this episode, Titi & Zakiya dive into polling to understand survey methodology (how polls are designed) a ... Show More

The days before an election always bring uncertainty, but that’s especially true this year, with polls showing a near deadlock between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. This week, Republican pollster and CNN Political Commentator Kristen Soltis Ander ... Show More

How will the trial of Donald Trump affect voters? There’s been a lot of partisan messaging from all sides about the numbers and what – if any effect – that’s going to have in November. How do we make sense of all of this? CNN polling and analytics editor Ariel Edwards-Levy joins ... Show More

<p><span style="background-color: transparent; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">As Election Day looms, we’re seeing more and more headlines based on poll results. Some declare Trump and Harris </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/19/polling-harris-trump-pennsylvan ... Show More