Jamie Coutts joins Mark Moss to explain why Bitcoin has flashed a cycle inflection off the February lows, why unfinished global liquidity is still the main headwind, and why a break of $80–82K would leave little overhead except liquidity itself.
They discuss last year’s deeper-than-expected bear, long-term holder selling and RSI divergences, why price matters more than the four-year calendar, Scott Bessent’s Treasury tweaks versus faster debt growth, the defense of $58–64K, whale and ETF buying, Bitcoin versus gold and the Nasdaq, a 75% chance the bottom is in, technicals as risk management not long-term targets, and why compounding Bitcoin and using it as collateral beats trading, taxes, and debasement. ___________________________________________________________________________________________
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TIMESTAMPS:
0:00 - Bitcoin Cycle Inflection and Liquidity Headwinds
6:19 - Last Year’s Bitcoin Calls: Hits and Misses
9:36 - Sponsor: Protect Your Bitcoin Inheritance with Unchained
11:05 - Is Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Still Valid?
16:16 - Treasury Liquidity Tweaks vs Rising Debt Pressures
21:11 - Whales and Institutions Defend Bitcoin at $60K
23:55 - Sponsor: Turn Your Taxes Into Bitcoin with Blockware
25:17 - 75% Chance Bitcoin Has Broken Out of the Bottom
32:31 - Technicals for Risk Management, Not Price Targets
35:20 - Sponsor: Earn Bitcoin on Your Cash with River
37:06 - How Jamie Defines and Tracks Global Liquidity
40:18 - Beat Debasement and Taxes by Holding Bitcoin
45:43 - Sponsor: Take Control of Your Money with Rumble Wallet
49:05 - Bitcoin as Collateral and Compounding Strategy ___________________________________________________________________________________________
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