In this episode of Hold Your Fire!, Richard is joined by Crisis Group experts Ali Vaez, Yasmine Farouk, Mairav Zonszein, Michael Hanna and Stephen Pomper to discuss the announced ceasefire between Iran, Israel and the U.S. and what might follow. Richard first asks Ali why Iran agreed to a ceasefire, decision-making in Tehran and Iran’s approach to the Islamabad talks. He then speaks with Yasmine about Gulf reactions to the ceasefire, the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz and divergent Gulf Arab positions on the negotiations. Richard and Mairav then discuss how Israel views the ceasefire as operations continue in Lebanon and whether Israelis see the war as a success so far. Finally, Richard turns to Michael and Steve to discuss Trump’s threats against Iran, the frantic diplomacy behind the ceasefire, the risk of renewed escalation and what recent weeks reveal about the erosion of international law.
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