Is your white-collar career about to be automated out of existence? We dive into the chilling 2028 forecast that sent the markets into a tailspin and reveal the "Barbell Strategy" for surviving the coming deflationary crisis.
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This episode unpacks the viral Srini Research article predicting a rapid collapse in white-collar employment and a "daisy chain" of correlated financial bets. We debate the dichotomy of data—a looming deflationary doom versus a euphoric productivity boom—and analyze why the "moats of friction" protecting today’s software giants are thinner than we think.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Alfalfa #277 Intro.
00:23 - Settling In: Whiskey, Wine, and We're Live
02:48 - Sponsor: ZBiotics Genetically Engineered Probiotics
04:22 - Formula 1 Preview & The USA/Canada Hockey Rivalry
07:28 - Trump’s Longest State of the Union & Political Synopsis
11:09 - The Satriani Article: A Market-Shaking Thesis
13:38 - The 2028 White-Collar Collapse: A June Forecast
16:13 - Daisy Chains of Correlated Bets: The Financial Crisis Scenario
23:30 - Moats of Friction: Why Software is Fragile
34:00 - Creating Demand vs. Displacing Labor: The Great Debate
45:00 - The Dichotomy of Data: Doom vs. Panacea
51:13 - The 0.3% Opportunity: How Many People Actually Use AI?
56:55 - Deflationary Playbook: Cash, Bonds, and the Govt Pivot
1:06:00 - The Fourth Turning: Political Populism & The AOC Era
1:17:50 - The AI Barbell: Gold, Chips, and Energy Supply Chains
1:31:00 - Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities: CrowdStrike vs. Coding Agents
1:38:00 - Becoming a Systems Engineer of Your Own Career
1:44:00 - Breakfast Sandwiches & The Kraft Single Controversy
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