As the government shutdown stretches on, Chuck Todd breaks down how both parties are calculating the political costs — and why Democrats may have already achieved what they wanted. With air travel disruptions mounting and healthcare debates pulling in new Republican attention, the public’s patience is wearing thin. Meanwhile, tensions between Trump and Illinois leaders have escalated, raising questions about the politicization of the military and fairness in immigration enforcement.
He also examines Democrats’ deeper strategic struggles heading into 2026 and beyond — from misreading voters’ frustration with cost of living to failing to invest early in registration and outreach. Inside the party, Virginia rallies around Jay Jones, while figures like Elissa Slotkin and Gavin Newsom position for future national influence. But viral missteps, like Katie Porter’s interview fallout, reveal how Democrats are still struggling to master modern media and messaging in an increasingly short-form political world.
Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football.
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Timeline:
(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)
00:00 Introduction
00:30 Government shutdown lingers on, Dems accomplished what they wanted
01:45 Air travel starting to be impacted by shutdown
03:00 The healthcare issue has gotten the attention of Republicans
04:00 General public only cares about issues that directly impact them
05:00 Either party could end the shutdown now
07:15 Showdown between Trump & leaders in Chicago escalates
08:15 Using Texas national guard in Illinois is a bridge too far
09:15 Too many leaders on both sides are way too online
10:30 ICE found by judge to be making warrantless arrests
12:45 Trump and Stephen Miller overplaying threat to the public
13:30 Public doesn't support deployments, wants apolitical military
14:45 Majority of voters think deportation process hasn't been fair
16:15 Politics getting personal between Trump & Illinois leaders
18:15 There are political risks for both sides
19:15 DNC believes they didn't spend early & enough to engage voters in 24'
21:45 Democrats takeaways are wrong. Biden was the biggest issue
23:00 Biden team misread the room, voters were upset at cost of living
24:15 DNC has put enough effort into voter registration
25:00 Appears party leaders in VA will rally around Jay Jones
26:45 Democrats willing to engage in GOP style "whataboutism"
28:00 There's still a vast chunk of America that cares about ethics
29:30 Elisa Slotkin headlining dinner in NH, eyeing run for president?
30:30 Looking like Gavin Newsom will win redistricting referendum
32:30 If California votes yes, it looks like R's will only pick up 3-4 seats in 26'
33:15 Katie Porter crashes out in viral interview clip, both parties pile on
35:00 Has Porter spent too much time in friendly interview spaces?
36:30 Porter's response to losing senate primary to Schiff was revealing
38:00 Former Bernie strategist says Dems struggling with short form video
41:00 Ask Chuck
41:15 Should we offer a tax credit for voting to incentivize participation?
45:15 Thoughts on an "American Unity" platform? What would you include?
52:00 Trump modeling terrible behavior & character for young people?
59:45 Military pay during government shutdown?
1:02:15 College football preview
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