logo
episode-header-image
Oct 3
38m 6s

Global Data Pod Weekender: If data falls...

J.P. MORGAN GLOBAL RESEARCH
About this episode

The US shutdown leaves us with limited visibility at an important juncture in the global outlook. There are reasons to believe that the factors of lift are set to fade and that the factors of drag are intensifying. These are just narratives for now, but keep the risks for a bend-but-not break global outlook skewed to the downside and the Fed in insurance easing mode.

 

Speakers:

Bruce Kasman

Joseph Lupton

 

This podcast was recorded on 3 October 2025.

This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Up next
Sep 26
Global Data Pod Weekender: Strong but shaky growth
The global expansion is now tracking a strong 3Q outturn, led by a robust increase in the US. The contrast of this strength with a near-stall in global employment is striking. Strong wealth gains and a falling saving rate are supporting consumer spending for now. But labor income ... Show More
32m 44s
Sep 26
Global Data Pod Research Rap: Inflation monitor: Food and energy add to sticky core
Nora Szentivanyi and Raphael Brun-Aguerre discuss their takeaways from the latest CPI reports, the key drivers shaping the outlook, and implications for monetary policy. This podcast was recorded on September 26, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. ... Show More
26 m
Sep 23
Global Data Pod Research Rap: The growth effects of AI capex
Abiel Reinhart joins Nora Szentivanyi to discuss the recent surge in tech-related business investment, its impact on US growth, and what it might mean for productivity gains. Tech investment accounted for about a third of US GDP growth––and much of the expansion in domestic final ... Show More
27m 20s
Recommended Episodes
Oct 2024
Global Rates: ECB to cut but no fireworks, UK budget concerns appear overblown
In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss their thoughts on the upcoming ECB meeting, funding dynamics and swap spreads as the UK budget at the end of this month. This podcast was recorded on 14 October 2024. This communication is provided for in ... Show More
10 m
Aug 2024
Global FX: Summertime sadness for USD as yields drag
In this week’s At Any Rate Podcast, our Global FX Strategists Meera Chandan & Patrick Locke discuss implications of recent rates compression for the dollar & global FX. We also discuss the outlook for EUR/USD, as well as the FX implications from US disinflation outpacing other pa ... Show More
17m 40s
Sep 2024
EM Fixed Income: EM after the Fed - Getting by with a little help from our friends
Jonny Goulden and Saad Siddiqui discuss the latest market developments and their impacts for the EM fixed income asset class. This podcast was recorded on 20 September 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related r ... Show More
15m 33s
Nov 2024
US Rates Strategy: Core CPI inflation holds above 3%, but where is the love for TIPS?
US Rates Strategist Phoebe White discusses her takeaways from the October CPI report, as well as the path ahead for US rates and inflation markets. October CPI showed broad-based strength, outside of some idiosyncratic weakness in core goods prices, and points to some stickiness ... Show More
8 m
Sep 26
Trading Insights: Why macro matters for systematic investors
In this episode we hear from Ralph Sueppel, Managing Director at Macrosynergy, a London-based macroeconomic research and technology company that co-developed the J.P. Morgan Macrosynergy Quantamental System (“JPMaQS”): a data and analytics product harnessing macroeconomic quantam ... Show More
23m 31s
Sep 30
From geopolitics to rate cuts: What’s shaping commodities markets?
In this episode, Greg Shearer, head of Base and Precious Metals Research, is joined by Natasha Kaneva, head of Global Commodities Research. Together, they dive into the key factors currently shaping commodities markets — from the evolving geopolitical landscape to the interest ra ... Show More
20m 35s
Feb 2025
What's next for global banking?
Banking has had a couple of very good years—the best, in fact, since the global financial crisis of 2007–09. Yet to some, the industry’s outlook seems less buoyant than recent profitability might suggest. On this episode of The McKinsey Podcast, McKinsey Senior Partners Klaus Dal ... Show More
25m 51s
Jan 2024
Andy Verity on LIE-BOR: Shocking New Evidence Suggest Interest Rate Scandal Is Much, Much, Bigger Than Originally Reported
Andy Verity, Economics Correspondent for BBC News, joins Forward Guidance to discuss revelations from his new book, “Rigged: The Incredible True Story Of The Whistleblowers Jailed After Exposing The Rotten Heart Of The Financial System.” Verity argues that the traders who were co ... Show More
1h 39m
Apr 2025
155. The Fed Isn’t Coming to Save Us Plus Endowment Talk and Big Tech Breakups
Send us a textThis week, we break down the tension between Jerome Powell and Donald Trump—and what it actually means for monetary policy. If you listened to Powell’s latest remarks at the Economic Club of Chicago, you may not have thought much of it, but anyone knows how to decod ... Show More
46m 46s