logo
episode-header-image
Sep 12
14 m

Markets rally as ECB holds rates and US ...

JULIUS BAER
About this episode

marked a second consecutive pause following eight hikes since last year. In the US, data was mixed: inflation remains sticky but isn’t accelerating, and jobless claims unexpectedly surged. These developments have reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Asian markets were lifted overnight by renewed enthusiasm around artificial intelligence. In commodities, gold is trading near record highs, while oil has pulled back from earlier gains this week as investors refocus on fundamentals. Joining us today is Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who shares his insights on what the ECB’s decision and US inflation data mean for bond markets.

  • (00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
  • (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content
  • (07:07) - Fixed income markets after ECB and US inflation data: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research
  • (12:43) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content


Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Up next
Yesterday
Gold breaks records as markets pause
Global equity markets paused after a strong rally, with US equities dipping slightly and bringing an end to a seven-day winning streak as Oracle’s weak cloud margins raised concerns about profitability in AI infrastructure. European stocks remained flat, though French luxury bran ... Show More
17m 25s
Oct 7
US stocks hit fresh highs on deals and despite geopolitics
Major US equity indices, from small caps to tech, hit fresh highs yesterday, spurred by strong corporate news – from semiconductors to banking deals. Political uncertainty in France and Japan lifted bond yields, weakened the yen and euro, and drove gold towards the historic USD 4 ... Show More
13m 28s
Oct 6
All eyes on Japan as markets rally ahead of historic leadership shift
Japanese equities surge to fresh record highs as Sanae Takaichi – known for being pro-stimulus - has won the LDP leadership and is likely to become the country's first female prime minister. Consequently, Japanese government bond yields have risen, while the yen weakened against ... Show More
9m 39s
Recommended Episodes
Aug 2021
US yields jump, gold dives ahead of US inflation!
Asian stock markets kicked off the week on a positive note, although the US indices had nothing more exciting than mixed performance after the announcement of strong jobs data on Friday. The US jobs data gave a small boost to the Dow and the S&P500 which closed Friday’s session 0 ... Show More
10m 42s
Sep 2024
Financial Markets Back on the Brink of Collapse - Ep 978
Market Turmoil & Economic Uncertainty: A Deep Dive into Non-Farm Payroll Report and Fed Policies In this episode, we explore today's weaker-than-expected non-farm payroll report and its impact on the markets. Despite a brief improvement in stock indices following rate cut exp ... Show More
1h 1m
Sep 26
Economic Reacceleration or Growth Scare? | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss the biggest risks to the economy, whether Mag7 is a bubble, surprisingly strong consumer data, the increasingly noisy housing and labor markets, risks around Fed policy and dollar liquidity, and why gold has been a cleaner macro hedge than Bitcoin. Enjoy! — ... Show More
1h 7m
Nov 2023
Interest Rate Declines Will Bring Fated "Soft Landing," Says Earnings Maestro Sam Burns
In January of 2023, a time where extreme pessimism on stocks and the economy reigned, Sam Burns, founder of Mill Street Research, shared his bullish outlook on equities with Jack. Now that his prediction has come true, Sam returns to Forward Guidance to explain why he is much les ... Show More
1h 3m
Sep 5
The Fed Is Cornered By Stagflation After Jobs Collapse | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss all the growing list of weaker labor market data after August NFP showed just 22K jobs added. We also debate whether the Fed will have room to cut 50bps in September while stagflation rears its head, the potential implications if tariffs are overturned, and ... Show More
42m 7s
Mar 2025
US Stocks and Dollar Tank. What’s Next? - Ep 1015
Peter Schiff discusses market drops, tariff impacts, Trump's Bitcoin reserve, and advocates for foreign stocks and gold investments. Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/gold Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/gold In ... Show More
1h 1m
Aug 17
Nasdaq’s Record Highs: Is the AI Boom Here to Stay?
In this Market Mondays clip, Rashad Bilal and Ian Dunlap break down the latest surge in the Nasdaq, which has just hit another record high. Is this the start of a long-lasting, AI-fueled bull run, or should investors brace for a pullback?Rashad cautions against wishing for a corr ... Show More
5m 26s
Apr 2025
US Assets Are Dead Money Without A Policy Shift | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss Powell’s hawkish speech, how to think about trading tariffs and the weaponization of the US account deficit, and whether we should expect a significant growth slowdown. We also delve into rate cuts & the yield curve, why Bitcoin is the trade after the trade, ... Show More
53m 24s
Mar 2025
Market Volatility Raises Risk-On or Risk-Off Question
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist Gina Martin Adams discusses that while the cues from S&P 500 earnings generally support the outlook for stocks this year, the market's tolerance for risk is being ... Show More
34m 9s
Sep 2023
Wave of U.S. Treasury Issuance Puts Pressure On Bond Market | Prometheus Macro
On todays episode, Aahan Menon Founder of Prometheus Research joins the show for a discussion on his current macro outlook looking at the economy, growth, markets & liquidity. With a wave of U.S Treasury issuance on the horizon, Aahan explains why he now sees a perfect opportunit ... Show More
1h 2m