US July consumer price inflation is due. The details will show more of the April trade taxes seeping into consumer prices—although a 10% tariff equates to around a 4% consumer price increase, and service prices should be largely unaffected. This data is less reliable than that released just six months ago—not because of political bias, but because funding cu ... Show More
Today
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Inflation, disinflation, and deflation'
The UK actually managed to publish some data without delay or suspension. July inflation rates were slightly higher than expected, although disinflation forces are also evident. A 30.2% monthly increase in airfares did much to push the figures higher. This is almost certainly a s ... Show More
2m 53s
May 20
Stephen Miran Talks Tariffs, Inflation
The White House's chief economist, Stephen Miran, believes that tariff increases will not have a lasting impact on US inflation, citing the limited effect of imports on the economy. “Imports are only 14% of the economy — the ability of those types of things to move the needle on ... Show More
7m 9s
Nov 2024
How inflationary are tariffs, really?
President-elect Donald Trump has just announced “Day 1” tariffs on Mexico and Canada, in addition to previously promised tariffs on China. Tariffs will definitely affect domestic prices, but how much, and will they truly cause catastrophic inflation? Today on the show, guest host ... Show More
14m 41s