logo
episode-header-image
Jul 14
50m 13s

Investing in the Chaos: Macro Signals in...

DEMETRI KOFINAS
About this episode

In Episode 427 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Le Shrub, the author of the Shrubstack Substack who in his previous life was part of a famous team known for putting on “The Big Short” during the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

This recording is the result of a phone call Demetri made to Le Shrub to catch up on markets and life after returning from a recent trip to Italy where he spent time with some guests of the podcast discussing the effect that rapid technological changes are having on the evolution of human societies, culture, politics, and the economy.

Le Shrub and Kofinas spend the first hour exploring some of these themes and the collective sense in Western countries that our governing systems, societal norms, and democratic institutions are unraveling at a quickening pace, hurdling us toward some inexorable economic and political reset.

They shift their focus in the second hour toward the markets as Le Shrub educates listeners on his investment process and how it has fared in this increasingly chaotic information landscape where signal is often drowned by a cacophony of bad information spread by malicious actors, uninformed clout chasers, and bots. This includes a discussion about how Le Shrub has sought to monetize the second order effects of the most recent Trump tariffs on copper and the Brazilian economy.

Subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe.

If you’d like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe.

If you enjoyed today’s episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by:

Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas
Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io.
Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod
Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas

Episode Recorded on 07/10/2025

Up next
Jul 3
Trump Doctrine: A New Era of Gunboat Diplomacy | Stephen Walt
In Episode 426 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Stephen Walt, Professor of International Affairs at Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of Government, about American grand strategy, the Trump Doctrine of Coercive Primacy, and the implications of Washington’s ... Show More
48m 54s
Jun 30
Tehran to Taipei: the Risks of Strategic Overreach | Dmitri Alperovitch
In Episode 425 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with geopolitical and intelligence analyst Dmitri Alperovitch about the new security dynamics and economic opportunities that arise from America’s and Israel’s attacks on Iran, the risks of strategic overreach, and whether U ... Show More
50m 41s
Jun 23
The Party Comes First: Power & Politics in Xi's China | Joseph Torigian
In Episode 423 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Joseph Torigian, an expert on the politics of authoritarian regimes and the Chinese Communist Party, with a particular focus on elite power struggles, civil-military relations, and grand strategy. Torigian is also the a ... Show More
53m 1s
Recommended Episodes
Jul 2021
Will DAOs Break the Power of Venture Capitalists?
In addition to the deep dive into distributed autonomous organizations, or DAOs, and their future in venture capital, today’s “The Brief” covers: Bitcoin futures trading approved for some Bank of America clients Stablecoin discussions entering the upper echelons of U.S. governmen ... Show More
17m 1s
Oct 2024
The Intelligence Squared Economic Outlook, with Paul Johnson, Part Two
Paul Johnson is the economist who has set the terms of so much political debate over the past few decades in Britain. Having served as Director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies since 2011, his expertise on matters of public spending and global economic trends have provided inv ... Show More
47m 18s
Feb 2025
Ray Dalio on AI, Job Loss & the Future of the Economy | #EP 148
In this episode, Ray and Peter discuss the changing world order, China vs. the USA, and Ray’s thoughts on the future of the US. Recorded on Feb 3rd, 2025Views are my own thoughts; not Financial, Medical, or Legal Advice. Ray Dalio is a renowned investor, hedge fund manager, and p ... Show More
1h 46m
Apr 1
Gold shines brighter as Liberation Day looms
European markets dropped yesterday but US stocks rebounded and the S&P 500 index closed up 0.6%, although this wasn’t enough to stop the benchmark index from posting its worst month in two years. Gold hit a fresh all-time high, up 1.2%, as investors sought safety amid concerns ov ... Show More
11m 23s
Apr 7
951. News: Monzo enters insurance, WeeFin raises €25M for sustainable finance, and OpenAI is now worth $300bn
For those listening in GCC and Turkey, this episode is sponsored by XM. https://bit.ly/ClaimBonusFintech -- About this episode: Host David Barton-Grimley is joined by an expert panel of guests as we dive into some of the biggest stories from the worlds of fintech, banking, and wi ... Show More
1h 1m
May 1
958. Insights: The rise of digital wealth management – a conversation with Monument CEO Ian Rand
On this special edition of Fintech Insider Insights, David M. Brear, Group CEO at 11:FS, is joined by Ian Rand, CEO of Monument Bank - a pioneering digital private bank designed for mass affluent individuals. Ian took the helm at Monument in 2022, bringing extensive experience fr ... Show More
47m 31s
Dec 2024
Stocks and bitcoin hit record highs as France ousts parliament
A rally in the world's biggest technology companies led global equities higher yesterday as traders digested the latest economic data. US Treasury yields fell, while the euro regained some strength as investors watched the no-confidence vote in France. Bitcoin has crossed the USD ... Show More
12m 1s
Apr 9
EMERGENCY PODCAST: USA vs China Trade War w/ Richard Werner | PBD Podcast | Ep. 574
Patrick Bet-David sits down for an emergency podcast with economist and "Father of Quantitative Easing" Richard Werner for a deep-dive conversation into the future of global finance. They discuss the rise of de-dollarization, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), the real stor ... Show More
1h 8m
Feb 2025
The U.S. Job Market Is On The Brink | Danielle DiMartino Booth
In this episode, Danielle DiMartino Booth joins the show to discuss recent tariff headlines, the state of the US labor market, and the Federal Reserve's evolving stance on inflation. We also delve into the complexities of implementing tariffs and the economic policies of the Trum ... Show More
49m 26s
Nov 2024
Anthony Scaramucci: Elon, DOGE & America’s Fate Under New Leadership (w/ Salim Ismail) | EP #132
In this episode, Peter, Salim, and Anthony discuss the future of the Department of Government Efficiency, how long Elon will last in the White House, and how the new Administration should handle Bitcoin. Recorded on Nov 20th, 2024Views are my own thoughts; not Financial, Medical, ... Show More
1h 47m