Way Too Early 7/3/25

Texas flooding kills at least 104, including Camp Mystic counselors and campers 

More than 80 dead as searches for survivors intensifies 

Senate narrowly passes Trump's 'big beautiful bill' 

CNN projects former Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi will win the special election in New York. Listen for details. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices 

In this late-night installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew breaks down the results of the special election in New York's 3rd Congressional District. Democrat Tom Suozzi beat Republican Mazi Pilip in a race to replace former Rep. George Santos. Learn more about your ad c ... Show More

First: Democrats celebrate decisive wins in Ohio, Virginia and Kentucky. But what do the results really tell us about Joe Biden's path to re-election? And what lessons will Republicans take from their disappointing night? Plus: Manchin out. He’s shaken up the senate map, will he ... Show More

The first big election night since 2020 ended with some key victories for Republicans, including the governor’s race in Virginia. CNN Political Director David Chalian explains where Democrats went wrong and what both parties can learn from the election results. Meanwhile, the gub ... Show More

Democrats worry about the debt ceiling deal Joe Biden might make with Kevin McCarthy. The party gets good news in Tuesday’s elections. Ron Desantis will announce his presidential run next week because he’s tired of the Republican culture of losing. And the most definitive report ... Show More

Democrats are meddling in Republican primaries this year to an unusual degree, attempting to elevate extremist candidates who they think will be easy to defeat in midterms in the fall.Nowhere has that strategy been more divisive than in the election for a House seat in Michigan.G ... Show More

After a summer of news that favored Democrats and with just two weeks until the midterms, a major new poll from The Times has found that swing voters are suddenly turning to the Republicans.The Times’s Nate Cohn explains what is behind the trend and what it could mean for Electio ... Show More

First: Democrats may be humming "New York, New York" after they picked up a key House seat. Plus: Former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan tells Dana Bash why he's running for Senate. And: Could a judge's ruling effectively end Donald Trump's business empire?  Learn more about your a ... Show More

50 percent of Dems says Biden gives party best chance in 2024 

Republicans will be wondering how polling got it so wrong. As John Fetterman wins that all-important Pennsylvania seat and Democrats keeps more seats in the House than expected, it is clear the former president doesn’t have the pull analysts once thought. Donald Trump faces anoth ... Show More