logo
episode-header-image
Jul 2
27m 25s

Continental Drift

RBC Capital Markets
About this episode

In this episode, Elsa, Peter, and Blake discuss the weakening of the USD, the outlook for the Fed and UST markets as well as the cross implications of both developments on the ECB and European rates.

Participants:

  • Elsa Lignos (Desk Strategy), Head of FX Strategy
  • Blake Gwinn (Desk Strategy), Head of US Rates Strategy
  • Peter Schaffrik (Desk Strategy), Head of UK/European Rates & Economics

* Research Analyst opinions are their published views, independent of those expressed by Desk Analysts

Up next
Jun 11
Pivot Time
US policy uncertainty is sky high. Global investors own a lot of US assets, mostly unhedged currency exposure, and the natural implication is that the collision of large exposures and elevated uncertainty could have a large impact on global capital flows, asset markets, and curre ... Show More
16m 29s
May 28
Limited Series I Special Edition Episode: Systematic Protection: How QIS Enables Responsive Defensive Overlap Strategies
Strategies promising to remove human emotion from investing were once niche. Now a growing number of institutions are finding them valuable. Where will QIS go next?Participants:Janet Wilkinson (Desk Strategy), Head of Global Markets Flow Sales, EMEASolenn Le Floch (Desk Strategy) ... Show More
19m 26s
May 20
Go Your Own Way
Both the Bank of England (BoE) and Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered 25bps rate cuts at their latest meetings but with very differing messages. Whereas the RBA delivered a ‘very dovish’ cut the BoE was much more cautious and in this episode we unpack the reasons for that ... Show More
15m 56s
Recommended Episodes
Sep 2024
Growth concerns persist, ECB set to cut rates again this week
The US employment report for August showed a slower than expected increase in jobs, but a fall in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. Markets reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 having its worst week since March 2023, closing at 5408 points. Other asset classes such as Bitcoin and oi ... Show More
12m 18s
Dec 2024
Ça baisse plus
Alors que le S&P 500 multiplie les records, les marchés mondiaux continuent de suivre la locomotive américaine, dopée par la politique économique de Donald Trump. Les investisseurs font peu de cas des tensions. Les amateurs de banques centrales, si toutefois ils existent, vont en ... Show More
8m 7s
Aug 2024
Lots More: Did the Fed Just Make a Policy Mistake?
This week, the Federal Reserve opted to keep interest rates unchanged while suggesting that it could cut as soon as September. But there's an ongoing discussion about whether or not the Fed is behind the curve, with some of the most recent data suggesting that the economy is alre ... Show More
26m 8s
Jun 18
Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged, Iran's Nuclear Capabilities
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Federal Reserve officials left interest rates unchanged and continued to pencil in two rate cuts in 2025, saying uncertainty over the economic outlook was still high but had diminished. The Federal Open Market C ... Show More
28m 10s
Sep 2024
Une banque centrale et ça repart ?
Les vendredis 13 ont une réputation douteuse, mais les investisseurs n'ont pas l'air particulièrement angoissés ce matin*. Hier, la Banque centrale européenne a détendu l'atmosphère en respectant les attentes. Les regards se tournent désormais vers son homologue américaine, qui e ... Show More
10m 17s
Oct 2024
Chine, BCE et résultats : ça se bouscule !
Les marchés boursiers continuent à regarder vers le haut, alors que se profile la première salve de résultats du troisième trimestre. Les investisseurs ont eu un avant-goût la semaine dernière avec les chiffres de trois banques américaines et de PepsiCo. Pendant ce temps, la Chin ... Show More
9m 21s
Sep 2024
Tech rally saves the day, ECB meets today
US inflation unexpectedly rose in August, with core inflation up 0.3% month-on-month and 3.2% year-on-year. The data suggests that the Fed will cut rates next week by 25bps rather than 50bps. Markets initially reacted negatively, but US equities later rallied strongly, led by tec ... Show More
12m 50s
Dec 2024
Is the Eurozone in trouble? With Philip Lane
It’s a treacherous time for the Eurozone. Inflation is falling, yes, but at the same time signs of real economic weakness are growing. And there are risks on the horizon, from rising debt to trade wars to real wars. It’s a perfect time to speak to our guest Philip Lane, chief eco ... Show More
27m 24s
Dec 2024
Two rate cuts – different sizes
Europe was the main focus yesterday with rate cuts from both the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank. The ECB mulled a 50 basis point cut but delivered 25 bps. The SNB, however, led by its new chief Martin Schlegel, surprised markets, announcing a half a percentage ... Show More
13m 44s
Aug 2024
Matt King on the Hidden Forces Driving the Market Selloff
The Nasdaq is now in correction territory and the S&P 500 is down more than 2% so far this month. Analysts are blaming any number of things for the selloff, including a slowdown in the economy, the Federal Reserve being behind the curve on rate cuts, hedge funds rotating out of p ... Show More
41m 29s