logo
episode-header-image
Jun 30
20m 23s

Monday - June 30, 2025

The Bahnsen Group
About this episode

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4nsTzUY

Market Comeback and Legislative Insights: A Mid-Year Review

In this episode of the Dividend Cafe, we reflect on the historic market rebound in the first half of 2025, breaking a record previously set in 1998. Host David Bahnsen discusses the recent dramatic market fluctuations and the unpredictability of events like the US-Israel-Iran situation and trade tariffs. He also highlights upcoming reports for clients, including portfolio summaries and insights from the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting. The episode covers recent legislative developments, including a significant bill expected to be signed by President Trump, and discusses various economic indicators such as bond market performance, housing market trends, and inflation data. Additionally, public policy updates from the EU and G7 countries are reviewed, emphasizing their impact on trade and tariffs. The episode closes with thoughts on the Federal Reserve's rate decisions and previews the upcoming discussion on market bubbles.

00:00 Introduction and Market Overview

00:54 Historical Market Comeback

02:16 Unpredictability of Market Events

03:39 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting Insights

04:16 Market Performance and Sector Highlights

05:39 Legislative Updates and Political Maneuvering

10:21 Global Trade and Tariff Developments

12:33 Economic Indicators and Housing Market

16:11 Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Speculations

18:09 Conclusion and Upcoming Content

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Up next
Yesterday
The Fed Part No One is Talking About
Today's Post - Analyzing the Fed's Balance Sheet: Quantitative Easing and Tightening Explored In this week's Dividend Cafe, host David Boson, Chief Investment Officer at The Bahnsen Group, dives deep into the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, covering the concepts of quantitative ... Show More
29m 38s
Aug 21
Thursday - August 21, 2025
Market Overview and Economic Data Insights - August 21 In this episode of Dividend Cafe, host Brian Szytel discusses the modest market downturn experienced on Thursday, August 21, with all indices down by roughly a third of a percent. The episode covers a range of economic data, ... Show More
7m 8s
Aug 20
Wednesday - August 20, 2025
Market Update and Housing Sector Insights: August 20th In this episode of Dividend Cafe on August 20th, host Brian Szytel discusses the day's market performance, noting slight gains in the DOW and declines in the S&P and Nasdaq. He highlights a continued rotation from growth to v ... Show More
6m 54s
Recommended Episodes
Oct 2024
Markets Spin Toward Cyclicals
A slump in tech stocks may explain the market rotation – but it’s the earnings season that investors need to watch, says CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist Mike Wilson. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s CIO and Chief US Eq ... Show More
4m 18s
Aug 4
Why Stocks Get Ahead of the Fed
Economic data looks backward while equity markets are looking ahead. Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why this delays the Federal Reserve in both cutting and hiking rates – and why this is a feature of monetary policy, not a bug.Read more insights fro ... Show More
4m 10s
Jan 2025
Yardeni Research's Eric Wallerstein: Stock Market at a Crossroads
The stock market is at a crossroads. After the strongest back-to-back years for the S&P 500 since the late 1990s, investors are wondering what to expect in 2025. Will higher productivity, stronger earnings, and D.C. deregulation win out and propel equities higher? Or will higher- ... Show More
17m 22s
Nov 2024
Markets Love Certainty
Donald Trump’s 2024 election victory gave investors a swift and decisive read on America’s next president. We sort through the reaction and everything else going on in the market this week.   (00:20) Asit Sharma and Dylan Lewis discuss:- The reactions to Donald’s Trump’s 2024 Pre ... Show More
24m 6s
Mar 2025
Market Volatility Raises Risk-On or Risk-Off Question
Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist Gina Martin Adams discusses that while the cues from S&P 500 earnings generally support the outlook for stocks this year, the market's tolerance for risk is being ... Show More
34m 9s
Aug 2024
Sentiment leads the market; the Fed follows
The Market Pinball Wizard, Avi Gilburt, shares how the market forces the Fed's hands (0:05). FX prediction: sizable decline coming in 2nd half of 2024 in DXY, then a multi-year rally. Will emerging markets outperform S&P? (1:40) Investing in an election year (5:15). Why it's time ... Show More
11m 58s
Oct 2024
What’s Boosting Cyclical Stocks?
Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist explains his preference for cyclical stocks amid a rise in global money supply and current US election dynamics. ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist ... Show More
3m 53s
Sep 2024
Tom Hayes: “Turnaround Tom” Talks Stocks, Strategies for 2024-25
The stock market is having a great year...but August and September have been much more volatile. Two key market catalysts are looming, too: A Federal Reserve meeting in September, where we’ll likely get the first rate cut in four-plus years, AND the presidential election in Novem ... Show More
17m 13s
Aug 2024
The Trading Floor: Monday's Market Selloff Explained
The headline on Bloomberg reads '$6.4 trillion stock wipeout has traders fearing ‘Great Unwind’ is just starting'. Join us as we delve into the key drivers behind Monday’s dramatic selloff in global equities. We'll explore the fundamental factors, market mechanics, and investor p ... Show More
39m 43s
Jul 2024
Inflation Disaster or Relief? Jared Dillian’s Dire Warning
Jared Dillian shares his urgent predictions on oil, inflation, the Fed, and the impact that the 2024 election could have on the economy. In this episode, host Andrew Brill is joined by Jared Dillian —author, trader, musician, entrepreneur, and educator. Jared discusses the pressi ... Show More
39m 44s