This past presidential election was the first where Americans could legally bet on the outcome. That event proved prediction markets to be a source of truth.
This episode offers two looks at prediction markets. In the first half of the show, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour joins Ricky Mulvey to discuss:
- What he learned about Kalshi from this past election.
- T ... Show More
Today
The Man Who Survived 47 Days on a Raft Has a Lesson for Every Investor
Every market downturn will test you. Not your strategy, not your portfolio — you. And the investors who come out the other side aren't the ones who had the best picks going in. They're the ones who learned how to take a hit, stay in the game, and get smarter because of it. Motley ... Show More
24m 12s
Yesterday
Declare Your Financial Independence!
It’s the first Saturday of the month, which means it’s time for the next installment of our 2026 Financial Planning Challenge. Since it’s July 4th, we thought it fitting that this month we focus on financial independence – in other words, retirement. How do you know if your retir ... Show More
21m 56s
Oct 2024
Forecasting the Future with Kalshi: America’s First Regulated Prediction Market
In this week’s episode of No Priors, Sarah sits down with Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi—the first CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in the U.S. They dive into Kalshi’s recent victory to legalize election betting, explore ethical questions around trading on elections, and d ... Show More
35m 36s
Nov 2024
First Time Founders with Ed Elson – How Kalshi Made it Legal to Bet on this Election
Ed speaks with Tarek Mansour, co-founder and CEO of Kalshi, a regulated exchange and prediction market that lets you trade on future events. They discuss Kalshi’s fight to legalize betting on the election, how to deal with negative press, and his prediction for the outcome of the ... Show More
51m 42s
Mar 2025
The Original Prediction Market Was Betting on the Pope
<p>Prediction markets are everywhere nowadays. You can go online and bet on political outcomes, or the weather, or how long Taylor Swift will stay together with Travis Kelce. But prediction markets have a long history, and one of the earliest involved betting on who would be the ... Show More
41m 2s
Apr 2025
Why prediction markets are going mainstream with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour
Kalshi is the largest prediction market in America, building a unique trading economy around political, sports, and cultural events. While some states view it as an illegal operation requiring gambling licenses, others—including certain courts and members of the Trump administrat ... Show More
18m 37s
Dec 2024
How sports gambling blew up
Sports gambling isn't exactly a financial market, but it rhymes with financial markets. What happens on Wall Street somehow eventually also happens in sports gambling. So in the 1980s, when computers and deep statistical analysis entered the markets, it also entered the sportsboo ... Show More
30m 15s
Oct 2024
A Look Ahead: What's Next for the US Economy After the Presidential Election?
Chief Investment Strategist for North America at Russell Investments, Paul Eitelman, joins the show to discuss his thoughts on the US economy and markets, whether a soft landing is possible, and how the markets will react to the presidential election.<hr><p style='color:grey; fon ... Show More
17m 45s
Oct 2024
What’s the Biggest Threat to the U.S. Economy’s Soft-Landing? — ft. Mark Zandi
Scott and Ed open the show by discussing Starboard Value’s activist stake in Pfizer, the end of the Longshoremen’s strike, and Ben Horowitz’s decision to donate to Kamala Harris’s campaign. Then Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody’s Analytics, joins the show to discuss the recen ... Show More
54m 58s