logo
episode-header-image
Apr 2025
13m 35s

Equity markets spring back, for now

JULIUS BAER
About this episode

Following President Trump’s ‘pause’ announcement yesterday, US And Asian equity indices experienced a relief rally of historic proportions. The punitive tariffs imposed on dozens of countries have now been swapped for a universal 10% rate, but only for 90 days. It remains to be seen whether this rally can be sustained or if it is merely a dead-cat bounce: US futures are pointing to a lower open this afternoon. Gold and oil have not been immune to some puzzling price moves in the past few weeks too, so it was great to have Carsten Menke and Norbert Rücker on the podcast to provide their insights into what might be behind these.

00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)

00:31 Markets wrap-up by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)

05:54 Oil: Norbert Rücker (Head of Economics & Next Generation Research)

09:01 Gold: Carsten Menke (Head of Next Generation Research)

12:26 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)

Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Up next
Today
Gold glitters, stocks rally, and China’s cracks
European and US equities edged higher as gold held above USD 4,000/oz amid ongoing economic and political uncertainty. Despite strong travel data, Chinese consumer sentiment remains weak, while Germany’s industrial downturn fuels structural concerns. With the Fed maintaining a do ... Show More
14m 44s
Yesterday
Gold breaks records as markets pause
Global equity markets paused after a strong rally, with US equities dipping slightly and bringing an end to a seven-day winning streak as Oracle’s weak cloud margins raised concerns about profitability in AI infrastructure. European stocks remained flat, though French luxury bran ... Show More
17m 25s
Oct 7
US stocks hit fresh highs on deals and despite geopolitics
Major US equity indices, from small caps to tech, hit fresh highs yesterday, spurred by strong corporate news – from semiconductors to banking deals. Political uncertainty in France and Japan lifted bond yields, weakened the yen and euro, and drove gold towards the historic USD 4 ... Show More
13m 28s
Recommended Episodes
Sep 2023
Wave of U.S. Treasury Issuance Puts Pressure On Bond Market | Prometheus Macro
On todays episode, Aahan Menon Founder of Prometheus Research joins the show for a discussion on his current macro outlook looking at the economy, growth, markets & liquidity. With a wave of U.S Treasury issuance on the horizon, Aahan explains why he now sees a perfect opportunit ... Show More
1h 2m
Jul 2024
Market’s Musical Chairs & A Conversation with Jonathan Litt
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss with the significant news of President Biden dropping out of the race, leading to conversations about the implications for the market and potential changes in political leadership. The episode also covers recent earnings reports, particularly focu ... Show More
1h 3m
Nov 2023
Interest Rate Declines Will Bring Fated "Soft Landing," Says Earnings Maestro Sam Burns
In January of 2023, a time where extreme pessimism on stocks and the economy reigned, Sam Burns, founder of Mill Street Research, shared his bullish outlook on equities with Jack. Now that his prediction has come true, Sam returns to Forward Guidance to explain why he is much les ... Show More
1h 3m
Sep 5
Bond investors are counting on US tariff revenues
US President Donald Trump’s nominee to join the Federal Reserve has vowed to uphold central bank independence, bond traders are banking on revenue from Trump’s tariffs to bolster US public finances, and Nasdaq is trying to combat a number of suspected “pump and dump” scams. Plus, ... Show More
12m 20s
Apr 2025
What Should Investors Expect from Earnings Season?
Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson discusses how market volatility over the last month will affect equity markets as earnings season begins. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.  ----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morga ... Show More
3m 56s
Oct 2023
Duration Remains Unattractive, Says Veteran High Yield Bond Investor
On todays episode, Craig Manchuck Vice President & Portfolio Manager at Osterweis joins the show for a discussion on the end of the zero interest rate era.  We deep dive into the bond market sell-off over the past 3 years, where to find opportunities in the bond market & the rise ... Show More
1h 12m
Apr 2025
Mark Dow: Tariffs, Trade, and Trump - [Making Markets, EP.59]
My guest today for the second time is Mark Dow. Mark is one of my favourite thinkers on Macro, and his experience at the IMF, the US Treasury, and Wall Street gives him a truly unique perspective for the current moment. As we went through one of the biggest market and policy uphe ... Show More
53m 20s
Aug 21
How smart investors stay ahead of the next market shift
Don’t get left behind - here’s how to position your portfolio before the next market rotation hits. In this episode of Stocks in Translation, Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist Steve Sosnick joins host Jared Blikre and Senior Reporter Allie Canal to discuss market dynamics, par ... Show More
24m 45s
Mar 2025
US Stocks and Dollar Tank. What’s Next? - Ep 1015
Peter Schiff discusses market drops, tariff impacts, Trump's Bitcoin reserve, and advocates for foreign stocks and gold investments. Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/gold Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/gold In ... Show More
1h 1m
Feb 2025
If new Trump tariffs stick, markets have only just begun to react
Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3CyH5bX - Trump delivered on the comprehensive tariffs he promised at the weekend against Canada, Mexico and China, although they don't actually go into effect until 12:01 a.m (0501 GMT) tonight. That's when we find out how much the market is ho ... Show More
20m 34s