Our Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter explains the potential domino effect that President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs could have on the U.S. and global economies.
----- Transcript -----
Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist, and today I'm going to talk about downside risks to ... Show More
Apr 2025
Mark Dow: Tariffs, Trade, and Trump - [Making Markets, EP.59]
My guest today for the second time is Mark Dow. Mark is one of my favourite thinkers on Macro, and his experience at the IMF, the US Treasury, and Wall Street gives him a truly unique perspective for the current moment. As we went through one of the biggest market and policy uphe ... Show More
53m 20s
Sep 5
The Fed Is Cornered By Stagflation After Jobs Collapse | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss all the growing list of weaker labor market data after August NFP showed just 22K jobs added. We also debate whether the Fed will have room to cut 50bps in September while stagflation rears its head, the potential implications if tariffs are overturned, and ... Show More
42m 7s
Sep 26
Markets rattle as data surprises and tariffs return
Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prom ... Show More
13m 31s
Apr 2025
Global Pushback on Tariffs + Can the FTC Beat Meta?
Scott and Ed discuss gold hitting a record high, the Trump administration’s new restrictions on chip exports, and Jerome Powell’s comments on tariffs. Then, they unpack how other nations are pushing back against the tariffs, highlighting Trump’s key strategic missteps—including h ... Show More
1h 2m
Apr 2025
US Assets Are Dead Money Without A Policy Shift | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss Powell’s hawkish speech, how to think about trading tariffs and the weaponization of the US account deficit, and whether we should expect a significant growth slowdown. We also delve into rate cuts & the yield curve, why Bitcoin is the trade after the trade, ... Show More
53m 24s
Aug 18
Ukraine, the Fed, and market breadth
Major equity markets surge to new highs, driven by easing trade tensions, robust US earnings, and expectations of US interest rate cuts even as US inflation remains a concern. This trend is also reflected in US investment-grade credit spreads, which have reached their lowest leve ... Show More
11m 8s