China’s new DeepSeek AI model, which reportedly matches GPT-4’s performance at 1/45th the cost, has rattled the AI hardware market and contributed to a 20% dip in Nvidia’s stock price. Investor-technologist Jeffrey Emanuel argues that DeepSeek’s efficiency gains aren’t the only story, as his viral 12,000-word article “The Short Case for Nvidia Stock” also catalyzed the market’s panic. In this episode, we explore how these converging factors could unbundle Nvidia’s once-unassailable lead and drastically reshape AI compute economics.
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TIMESTAMPS
00:00 Start
05:20 Intro To Jeff
07:27 The Issue With DeepSeek
16:00 Inference Compute Explained
24:51 Nvidia's Competition
29:14 DeepSeek's Impact On Valuations
36:46 Criticism Around Jeff's Thesis
44:17 DeepSeek's 45x Upgrade
51:30 The Transformer Explained
01:03:15 Why Is Everyone Shocked?
01:12:07 Synthetic Data
01:21:30 Why Jeff's Article Went Viral
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