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Dec 2024
1h 10m

The Post-Payrolls Debate: Growth, Inflat...

Blockworks
About this episode

This week we discuss the November jobs report, the Fed’s cutting path, and the goldilocks scenario for 2025. We also delve into the different R* models, MicroStrategy, the Milken moment for crypto, and much more. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:44) Post-Thanksgiving Catch Up

(03:33) November Non-Farm Payrolls

(08:31) Economic Slowdown or Stability?

(10:20) Debating The Fed’s Cutting Path

(16:51) Hot Economy Vs Growth Scare

(24:24) Macro Analysis & Shorting Oil

(30:35) Ads

(32:38) We Are In Goldilocks

(36:29) Stocks Vs Commodities

(38:12) Inflation Turning Point

(39:40) Different R* Models

(46:07) History Of Junk Bonds

(48:11) Milken Moment For Crypto

(52:11) Monetizing Volatility

(53:26) Bitcoin & Evolving Options Market

(56:40) MicroStrategy Risks

(01:03:23) Enhancing Yield With Volatility

(01:06:13) Debating Bitcoin’s Future


Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

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