logo
episode-header-image
Nov 2024
40m 16s

How Trump Won

Pushkin Industries
About this episode

Nate and Maria take a closer look at the results of the election. They discuss polling errors, prediction markets, demographic shifts, and campaign strategy. And Nate shares some parting advice for President Biden.

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Up next
Jun 30
"Birds Are Like My Afternoon Martini" (Birding with Lili Taylor) from The Happiness Lab
Lili Taylor loves her acting career - but the emotional intensity of her work and the constant travel can take its toll. But Lili has found a way to relax and unwind - watching birds. As Lili explains in her new book Turning to Birds: The Power and Beauty of Noticing - if we stop ... Show More
32m 15s
Jun 24
Don’t Panic! Preview Douglas Adams: The Ends of the Earth
Here's a preview of a new audiobook, Douglas Adams: The Ends of the Earth, which celebrates the wit and wisdom of the legendary science fiction author of The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy and Dirk Gently’s Holistic Detective Agency. Twenty-five years after his death, Adams’ bo ... Show More
38m 53s
Jun 23
How Good Manners Made Me Happier (with Etiquette Expert William Hanson) from The Happiness Lab
You might think etiquette is outdated. Who really needs a dinner with nice napkins and four different forks? Etiquette expert William Hanson disagrees. By observing good manners we show others we respect and care about them - deepening our bonds. William (author of Just Good Mann ... Show More
41m 38s
Recommended Episodes
Aug 2024
Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova on the Art of Election Betting
Political prediction markets — where traders can make bets on election outcomes — have been around for years. But in this cycle in particular, we've seen an explosion of interest, with people constantly checking the odds on sites like Polymarket and PredictIt to assess the state ... Show More
44m 47s
Nov 2023
The Media is Missing Something Big in Biden’s Bad Polling Numbers
Today’s episode is about the question of the moment in politics: the meaning of Joe Biden’s terrible polling numbers. Today’s guest is Nate Cohn, chief political analyst at the New York Times, where he does public opinion, polling, demographics, and politics. We talk about the no ... Show More
50m 41s
Jun 16
Is Trump winning?
We’re nearly six months into Donald Trump’s second term as president, and a lot of us are still trying to figure out what that actually means. Not just politically. But culturally. What kind of country are we living in? And what kind of future are we heading toward? In today’s ep ... Show More
52m 31s
Nov 2024
How Donald Trump Made a Historic Comeback
P.M. Edition for Nov. 6. WSJ senior political correspondent Molly Ball on Donald Trump’s win. And Republicans might also win control of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, but who will execute Trump’s agenda? WSJ reporter Andrew Restuccia discusses the names on the ... Show More
13m 44s
Nov 2024
Extra: Reading The Election's Tea Leaves
Just days before Americans cast their final ballots, former President Trump and Vice President Harris are spending the weekend making their final case to swing state voters nationwide. The consensus among pundits and pollsters is that the race is neck-and-neck, but are they missi ... Show More
18m 25s
Aug 2024
IS TRUMP CHICKENING OUT OF DEBATE?! - August 26th, 2024
Join Don this evening to break down all the biggest news stories of the day. Tonight, Don sits down with novelist, screenwriter, and political strategist, Gregg Hurwitz to dive into the latest presidential election polling and how views are shifting after the Democratic National ... Show More
58m 12s
Jun 2024
Trump vs. Biden 2.1 with Stephanie Ruhle, Eliana Johnson and Mike Madrid
The 2024 race is ON and the gloves are coming off: President Biden and former President Donald Trump will go head-to-head tonight, in the first debate of this campaign season [Thursday, 9 pm ET on CNN]. The two are basically tied in the polls, so both candidates are vying for ind ... Show More
57m 27s
Aug 2024
NEW POLLS: KAMALA & WALZ ⬆️ - August 7th, 2024
Join Don to hear all about the biggest news stories of the day. Tonight, Don is joined by Host of The Bulwark Podcast Tim Miller, Political Communication Strategist Richard Greene, New York Daily News columnist Harry Siegel, and cofounder of the Black Voters Matter Fund Cliff Alb ... Show More
1h 10m
Nov 2024
The Trump Transition Kicks Into High Gear
P.M. Edition for Nov. 11. WSJ reporter Brian Schwartz on how President-elect Donald Trump’s team is choosing who will staff his White House. And prediction markets had a big moment coming out of the presidential election. WSJ markets reporter Gunjan Banerji discusses whether they ... Show More
13m 55s
Nov 2024
Victory for Trump as Democrats’ ‘Blue Wall’ Crumbles
A.M. Edition for Nov. 6. WSJ Washington chief Damian Paletta and editor Aaron Zitner say Donald Trump’s historic comeback gives him a powerful mandate and sets up a bitter fight inside the Democratic Party over how to move forward after Kamala Harris fails to make inroads with ke ... Show More
14m 13s