logo
episode-header-image
Nov 2024
14m 16s

Why house prices are starting to fall

ABC
About this episode

Big interest rate rises since May 2022 have finally seen house prices begin to drop in our most populous cities. 

In the latest Corelogic data for October, Sydney home prices fell 0.1% in a month, while Melbourne was 0.2% down. 

It’s still a mixed picture across the country, with national home values up 6% for the year, 1.9% down in Melbourne, 3.7% up in Sydney and a massive 22.6% rise in Perth. 

With home price rises slowing in some cities, how long will that slump continue and what happens when interest rates begin to fall?

Today, the ABC’s Chief Business Correspondent Ian Verrender explains why home buyers should not get too excited about falls.  

He says that despite slight declines, prices remain near record levels in many areas. 

Ian Verrender discusses the impact of population growth on housing demand and the challenges of affordability due to stagnant wages and rising costs. 

He also says that any future interest rate cuts could quickly reignite demand, potentially pushing prices higher again. 

Featured: 

Ian Verrender, ABC Chief Business Correspondent

Key Topics:

  • Interest rates
  • House price trends
  • Corelogic data
  • Housing affordability
  • Population growth
  • Housing supply and demand
  • Sydney and Melbourne housing markets
  • Perth housing market 
Up next
May 21
The Trump cloud hanging over the RBA
Interest rates are falling, inflation is down and the Reserve Bank seems happier than it’s been in ages.So, have we achieved the so-called soft landing after all the economic turmoil we’ve suffered since the pandemic?Today, chief business correspondent Ian Verrender on the latest ... Show More
14m 35s
May 20
Why the Nationals nuked the Coalition
It had been a constant of federal politics, but the coalition between the Liberal and National parties has come to a dramatic end following a disastrous election defeat.The Nationals are breaking away after the Liberals rejected a demand that key policy areas were part of the agr ... Show More
15m 12s
May 19
Biden’s health back in focus after cancer news
He dropped out of the presidential race last July, but the focus is now back on Joe Biden. The former US leader has not only been diagnosed with an aggressive form of prostate cancer, but a new book released this week has accused the White House of covering up a decline in his he ... Show More
14m 27s
Recommended Episodes
Mar 2025
March 2025 Housing Market Update: Are Price Declines Coming?
The housing market saw significant “softening” in February, with inventory rising, demand shrinking, and buyers regaining more control while sellers find themselves in a tough position. Why is this happening now, especially as mortgage rates continue to dip? With recession fears ... Show More
36m 32s
Aug 2024
VREP #433 | Are House Prices Dropping in Vancouver Fall 2024? With Andrew Lis
The most recent Greater Vancouver Realtors Housing Market Report paints a surprisingly grim picture of the Vancouver real estate market. New listings are up 20% year over year and transactions are down 17.6% below the 10 year average. And this is with two Bank of Canada rate cuts ... Show More
1h 30m
Jul 2024
233: Housing Market “Stuck” Until 2026 as Insurance Prices Rise, Rents Slow
See Dave, Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCon2024 in Cancún, Mexico! Grab your ticket here! The housing market is “stuck” and may stay that way for the next two years. With low inventory, high mortgage rates, stunted demand, and high rents, it seems like there’s nowhere to go. If yo ... Show More
39m 40s
Jul 2024
US Housing: What Will Slow Home Price Growth?
Record-high prices remain a key concern for buyers in the U.S. housing market. Our Co-Heads of Securitized Product Research dig into the data, explaining why they still believe a deceleration in home price growth will come. ----- Transcript ----- Jay Bacow: Welcome to Thoughts on ... Show More
6m 55s
Aug 2024
239: THE HUGE Downside of No-Income-Tax States and a Hidden Housing Market Threat
Why is everyone ignoring this one severe housing market trend, what does a 2008 crash predictor think will happen in 2025, and why are homes starting to sit longer on the market, even with mortgage rates starting to fall? Are all the headlines pointing to housing market havoc or ... Show More
42m 43s
Mar 2025
Housing Market Shift: Inventory Catapults Back, Buying Opportunities Grow
Home prices are falling fast in some prime real estate markets across the country while others remain stubbornly stuck. What’s the defining factor between a stable housing market and one where sellers are actively cutting prices? Housing inventory! This metric defined the 2020 - ... Show More
39m 3s
Jun 2023
The Lock In Effect
On today show we’re taking a look at a major shift in the rental housing market. This change is a direct result of the rapid increase in interest rates. A lot has been written in recent months about the so-called lock in effect. I recently attended a talk by Dr. Doug Duncan, chie ... Show More
5m 33s
Sep 2022
The Fed Wants Stocks And House Prices To Keep Dropping
National house prices in Canada have now endured their largest correction dating back to 2005. Meanwhile, the Fed hiked rates another 75bps and has made it clear it wants stocks and house prices lower. Currency markets are going crazy. Buckle up, things are about to get interesti ... Show More
1h 5m
Dec 2024
BiggerNews: The 2024 Housing Market in Review (What’s Coming Next?)
The 2024 housing market was nothing short of "wild," to put it lightly. We came from years of unprecedented growth, rock-bottom mortgage rates, and fiery homebuyer demand. While some predicted a housing market crash, we were quite sure that real estate prices would stay stable—an ... Show More
28m 22s
Jul 2024
Housing Update: Home Prices Unlikely to Decline
Rising rents and mortgage payments have been at the center of the inflation discussion. Our Global Chief Economist assesses whether monetary policy can effectively blunt those figures.  ----- Transcript ----- Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, ... Show More
4m 9s