In this episode, Eric Basmajian joins the show to break down the business cycle, how the cyclical economy impacts the broader economy, and the housing sector’s role in the business cycle. We also delve into the strong GDP numbers, how to measure the labor market and interpret revisions, and much more. Enjoy!
__
Follow Eric Basmajian: https://x.com/epbresearc ... Show More
Nov 20
AI’s CapEx Frenzy Hits Wall of Fed Hawkishness | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss NVIDIA’s latest earnings, how shifting credit dynamics could reshape the next phase of the AI boom, what the Fed’s mixed signals really imply for markets, and why global FX moves are sending quiet warnings. We also dig into the surprising forces driving cryp ... Show More
1h 1m
Nov 19
Why Cross-Border Flows Matter More Than Rate Cuts | Capital Flows
In this episode, Capital Flows joins the show to break down how credit growth, falling real rates, and strong cross-border flows fueled the rally from April through summer, and why the Fed’s recent hawkish shift has introduced short-term volatility without meaningfully raising re ... Show More
51m 45s
Nov 14
Hawkish Fed, Credit Stress & A K-Shaped America | Weekly Roundup
This week, we discuss markets wobbling as a pointless government shutdown, delayed data releases, and a hawkish Fed collide with rising credit stress, over-levered AI giants, and widening inequality. Enjoy!
—
Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow Quinn: https://x. ... Show More
51m 11s
Jan 2025
Yardeni Research's Eric Wallerstein: Stock Market at a Crossroads
The stock market is at a crossroads. After the strongest back-to-back years for the S&P 500 since the late 1990s, investors are wondering what to expect in 2025. Will higher productivity, stronger earnings, and D.C. deregulation win out and propel equities higher? Or will higher- ... Show More
17m 22s
Jul 2024
7-24-24 How To Invest - Or Not - In A Presidential Election
Lance Roberts provides a preview of Q2 GDP results, Temp hiring is tapering, and rising credit card delinquencies (because of unemployment) suggesting economic stress. A three year experiment in Universal Basic Income is an epic failure. Google earnings beat estimates, but YouTub ... Show More
46m 9s
Oct 1
Why October could be make or break for the markets
A rate cut may sound bullish, but it can signal deeper problems. On Yahoo Finance’s Trader Talk, Kenny Polcari and strategist Barry Knapp explain why the Fed’s move highlights consumer slowdown, slight bank pressure, and tariff margin risk. They break down the sectors to buy, inc ... Show More
24m 44s